ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

WERN // Werner Enterprises Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000793074 ↗
Industrials • Trucking Freight/Courier Services
$27.63 ▲ +0.50 (+1.84%)
MKT CAP: $1.66B • VOL: 1.44M
WERN // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D (RQD 45) -> E (RQD 28)
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
28 / 100 -17D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF +18.5% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -8% • Z 2.73
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
4 / 20
CRITICAL
52W RANGE 19% • VS 200D -23.3% • RSI 30
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
3 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.04 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.31
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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WERN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.66%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $27.13H $27.63L $27.13C $27.63VOL 1.44M
RES: $53.28SUP: $26.56SMA50: $34.16SMA200: $36.03
$48.92$42.99$37.06$31.12$25.19RES $53.28SUP $26.56$27.632026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
WERN // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 38/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 0.4% return on invested capital within Industrials (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), balanced against a 10.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 0.4% operating margin and 0.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 0.4% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -1.9% paired with -4.14% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -1.9% // FCF YLD: -4.14%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.73 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.73 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 10.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $27.63 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Trucking Freight/Courier Services require continuous execution to defend -0.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -0.5% // D/E: 0.55x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 10.5x
FCF YIELD -4.14%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 0.4%
NET MARGIN -0.5%
ROIC % 0.4%
REV GROWTH YOY -1.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.55x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.06%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 30.0
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // WERNPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $25.28
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>