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Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell WERN stock right now?

Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 45/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is WERN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

WERN's 12-month base price target is $26.01 (range $20.29 to $49.86), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$27.63 +1.84% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.67

Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.66B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.67 (+0.14%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WERN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY WERN SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 19% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 30.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$32.70+0.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$32.81-12.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$28.79-4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$27.63-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WERN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While WERN currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($34.38) and Max Pain ($29.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $49.86.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WERN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “WERN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

30.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.73>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE19% OF RANGE

L: $23$27.63H: $47

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on WERN

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (45)

0.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -4.14% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (45)

Altman-Z 2.73 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (45)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like WERN

✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WERN)

✓Walkthrough of WERN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

WERN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.06%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $27.65H $28.05L $27.35C $27.63VOL 1.25M

RES: $53.20SUP: $26.72SMA50: $34.38SMA200: $36.06

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WERN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WERN Butterfly Map → + Track WERN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WERN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WERN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WERN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WERN)

Industrials Rank #345 of 485 ⚔️ ARCB vs WERN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (WERN vs. ARCB, MRTN, HTLD, CVLG)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) ranks #345 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #223 by equity capitalization ($1.66B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCB leads on earnings valuation at 47.0x trailing P/E, while ARCB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ARCB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with WERN at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
WERN ACTIVE Werner Enterprises Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	0.4%	+1.84%	$1.66B	Benchmark Subject
ARCB ArcBest Corporation	C+	66/100	47.0x	—	5.4%	+0.48%	$2.83B	/arcb-vs-wern →
MRTN Marten Transport Ltd.	C	65/100	55.1x	—	2.5%	+0.86%	$960.3M	/mrtn-vs-wern →
HTLD Heartland Express Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	-5.1%	+1.87%	$802.7M	/htld-vs-wern →
CVLG Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A)	D	47/100	101.0x	—	0.4%	-0.52%	$731.4M	/cvlg-vs-wern →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000793074

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.90B (-1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.96B , and -9.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.4M, operating cash flow of $181.8M, and free cash flow of -$68.5M (+18.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WERN closed FY2025 with $2.89B in total assets against $752.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.73, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.90B	-$14.4M	$181.8M	-$68.5M	$2.89B	$752.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.96B	$34.2M	$329.7M	-$84.1M	$3.05B	$630.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.20B	$112.4M	$474.4M	$474.4M	—	—

3. WERN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WERN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Werner Enterprises Inc. (NASDAQ: WERN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $27.63 (+1.84% 1D, market cap $1.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WERN ranks #345 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WERN compare to ARCB and MRTN in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), WERN carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, ARCB (ArcBest Corporation) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 47.0x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $2.83B) and MRTN (Marten Transport Ltd.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 55.1x, ROIC 2.5%, cap $960.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCB leads on earnings multiple (47.0x) while ARCB leads on capital efficiency (5.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WERN?

Per WERN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793074), Werner Enterprises Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (-1.9% YoY), -$14.4M in net income, and -$68.5M in free cash flow against $2.89B in total assets and $752.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WERN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WERN last traded at $27.63 (+1.84% on volume of 1,439,412 shares), positioning the stock -19.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.38) and -23.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.06). Across its 52-week range of $23.06 to $47.49, WERN sits at the 18.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($25.36 to $29.90).

WERN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell WERN stock right now?

Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 45/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is WERN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

WERN's 12-month base price target is $26.01 (range $20.29 to $49.86), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: WERN RQD Cockpit WERN 12M Forecast WERN Earnings & Move WERN Dividends & DRIP WERN Insiders & 13F WERN Whale Options WERN Profit Sankey WERN News & Why