Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.2% Move

$27.63 +1.84% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.67

Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.66B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.67 (+0.14%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (13)SEC (9)Macro (11)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$50 Bull$26 Base$20 Bear
📬 FREE WERN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WERN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WERN SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 19% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 30.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$32.70+0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$32.81-12.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$28.79-4% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$27.63-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WERN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While WERN currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($34.38) and Max Pain ($29.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $49.86.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WERN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WERN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.2% Swing Band

±$2.27 Expected Swing
$25.36 (-8.2%)Spot $27.63$29.90 (+8.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

WERN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 45/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -1.9%

Model Bullish Setup (45/100)Model Risk Weight (55/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$2.90B-$14.4M-$68.5M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$2.96B$34.2M-$84.1M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$3.20B$112.4M$474.4M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WERN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of WERN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WERN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.06%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $27.65H $28.05L $27.35C $27.63VOL 1.25M
RES: $53.20SUP: $26.72SMA50: $34.38SMA200: $36.06
$48.92$42.99$37.06$31.12$25.19RES $53.20SUP $26.72$27.632026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WERN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WERN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WERN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WERN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WERN)

Industrials Rank #345 of 485 ⚔️ ARCB vs WERN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (WERN vs. ARCB, MRTN, HTLD, CVLG)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) ranks #345 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #223 by equity capitalization ($1.66B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCB leads on earnings valuation at 47.0x trailing P/E, while ARCB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ARCB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with WERN at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WERN ACTIVE
Werner Enterprises Inc.
D 45/100 — — 0.4% +1.84% $1.66B Benchmark Subject
ARCB
ArcBest Corporation
C+ 66/100 47.0x — 5.4% +0.48% $2.83B /arcb-vs-wern →
MRTN
Marten Transport Ltd.
C 65/100 55.1x — 2.5% +0.86% $960.3M /mrtn-vs-wern →
HTLD
Heartland Express Inc.
D 44/100 — — -5.1% +1.87% $802.7M /htld-vs-wern →
CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A)
D 47/100 101.0x — 0.4% -0.52% $731.4M /cvlg-vs-wern →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000793074

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.90B (-1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.96B , and -9.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.4M, operating cash flow of $181.8M, and free cash flow of -$68.5M (+18.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WERN closed FY2025 with $2.89B in total assets against $752.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.73, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.90B -$14.4M $181.8M -$68.5M $2.89B $752.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.96B $34.2M $329.7M -$84.1M $3.05B $630.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.20B $112.4M $474.4M $474.4M — —

3. WERN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WERN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Werner Enterprises Inc. (NASDAQ: WERN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $27.63 (+1.84% 1D, market cap $1.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WERN ranks #345 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WERN compare to ARCB and MRTN in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), WERN carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, ARCB (ArcBest Corporation) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 47.0x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $2.83B) and MRTN (Marten Transport Ltd.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 55.1x, ROIC 2.5%, cap $960.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCB leads on earnings multiple (47.0x) while ARCB leads on capital efficiency (5.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WERN?

Per WERN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793074), Werner Enterprises Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (-1.9% YoY), -$14.4M in net income, and -$68.5M in free cash flow against $2.89B in total assets and $752.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WERN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WERN last traded at $27.63 (+1.84% on volume of 1,439,412 shares), positioning the stock -19.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.38) and -23.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.06). Across its 52-week range of $23.06 to $47.49, WERN sits at the 18.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($25.36 to $29.90).

WERN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is WERN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is WERN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.2% event move for WERN, spanning a range between $25.36 and $29.9.

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