ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

VIRC // Virco Manufacturing Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000751365 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Industrial Specialties
$6.23 ▼ -0.05 (-0.80%)
MKT CAP: $98.2M • VOL: 6.1K
VIRC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 41/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
41 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
7 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 39% • VS 200D -3.7% • RSI 45.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
13 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 7 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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VIRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.81%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $6.21H $6.23L $6.20C $6.23VOL 11.0K
RES: $7.04SUP: $6.11SMA50: $6.31SMA200: $6.19
$7.11$6.66$6.20$5.75$5.30RES $7.04SUP $6.11$6.232026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
VIRC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) exhibits 40.7% gross margins and 3.0% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Industrial Specialties), balanced against a 10.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 40.7% gross profitability converts into 1.8% operating margin and 3.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 3.0% // GM: 40.7%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -25.0% paired with -6.82% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -25.0% // FCF YLD: -6.82%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 38.2x trailing P/E (35.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 38.2x // EV/EBITDA: 10.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $6.23 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Specialties require continuous execution to defend 1.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.3% // D/E: 0.03x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 35.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 38.2x
FORWARD P/E 35.5x
EV / EBITDA 10.1x
FCF YIELD -6.82%
GROSS MARGIN 40.7%
OPERATING MARGIN 1.8%
NET MARGIN 1.3%
ROIC % 3.0%
REV GROWTH YOY -25.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.16
DEBT / EQUITY 0.03x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.60%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 42.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // VIRCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $5.70
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for VIRC & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>