ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

UPWK // Upwork Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001627475 ↗
Technology • EDP Services
$9.12 ▲ +0.12 (+1.33%)
MKT CAP: $1.14B • VOL: 3.52M
UPWK // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 71/100 [B-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
71 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +61.6% vs NI -46.5% • ROIC-WACC +20.2% • Z 2.27
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +21.3% • P/E 9.2x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did UPWK's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever UPWK is Upgraded or Downgraded.

UPWK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.88%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $8.99H $9.24L $8.99C $9.12VOL 2.02M
RES: $9.58SUP: $7.74SMA50: $8.64SMA200: $10.61
$16.50$14.05$11.59$9.13$6.68RES $9.58SUP $7.74$9.122026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
UPWK // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 61/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Upwork Inc. (UPWK) exhibits 77.8% gross margins and 30.4% return on invested capital within Technology (EDP Services), balanced against a 6.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 77.8% gross profitability converts into 16.4% operating margin and 30.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 30.4% // GM: 77.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +2.4% paired with 21.29% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +2.4% // FCF YLD: 21.29%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.27 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.27 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 9.9x trailing P/E (9.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 9.9x // EV/EBITDA: 6.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $9.12 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in EDP Services require continuous execution to defend 14.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 14.7% // D/E: 0.00x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 9.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 9.9x
FORWARD P/E 9.2x
EV / EBITDA 6.3x
FCF YIELD 21.29%
GROSS MARGIN 77.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 16.4%
NET MARGIN 14.7%
ROIC % 30.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +2.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.92
DEBT / EQUITY 0.00x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 58.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // UPWKPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $8.35
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for UPWK & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>