ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

UAA // Under Armour Inc. (Class A)

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001336917 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Apparel
$5.02 ▲ +0.26 (+5.46%)
MKT CAP: $2.16B • VOL: 7.32M
UAA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D- (RQD 37) -> E (RQD 27)
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
27 / 100 -10D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
6 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF +28.9% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -18.6% • Z 1.67
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 22% • VS 200D -15.5% • RSI 56.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
4 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.12 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.28
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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UAA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.43%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $4.76H $5.02L $4.76C $5.02VOL 7.32M
RES: $8.86SUP: $3.52SMA50: $4.86SMA200: $5.94
$7.73$6.78$5.83$4.88$3.92RES $8.86SUP $3.52$5.022026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
UAA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 30/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Under Armour Inc. (Class A) (UAA) exhibits 45.5% gross margins and -9.5% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Apparel), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.5% gross profitability converts into -3.3% operating margin and -9.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -9.5% // GM: 45.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -3.8% paired with -7.52% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -3.8% // FCF YLD: -7.52%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.67 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.67 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $5.02 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Apparel require continuous execution to defend -10.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -10.0% // D/E: 0.27x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -7.52%
GROSS MARGIN 45.5%
OPERATING MARGIN -3.3%
NET MARGIN -10.0%
ROIC % -9.5%
REV GROWTH YOY -3.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.27x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 56.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // UAAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $4.59
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>