ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TR // Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000098677 ↗
Consumer Staples • Specialty Foods
$36.55 ▲ +0.83 (+2.32%)
MKT CAP: $2.74B • VOL: 208.0K
TR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 68/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 76% • VS 200D +6.1% • RSI 62.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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TR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.43%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $37.52H $37.71L $36.55C $36.55VOL 198.6K
RES: $38.75SUP: $33.75SMA50: $38.11SMA200: $39.51
$44.09$41.34$38.60$35.85$33.10RES $38.75SUP $33.75$36.552026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
TR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 46/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR) exhibits 35.3% gross margins and 9.8% return on invested capital within Consumer Staples (Specialty Foods), balanced against a 20.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 35.3% gross profitability converts into 13.8% operating margin and 9.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 9.8% // GM: 35.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +1.3% paired with 3.51% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +1.3% // FCF YLD: 3.51%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 27.4x trailing P/E (25.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 27.4x // EV/EBITDA: 20.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $36.55 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Specialty Foods require continuous execution to defend 13.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 13.7% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 25.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 27.4x
FORWARD P/E 25.5x
EV / EBITDA 20.1x
FCF YIELD 3.51%
GROSS MARGIN 35.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 13.8%
NET MARGIN 13.7%
ROIC % 9.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +1.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.33
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.95%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 48.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $33.44
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for TR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>