ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TIC // TIC Solutions Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0002032966 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Business Services
$10.39 ▲ +0.39 (+3.90%)
MKT CAP: $2.27B • VOL: 1.26M
TIC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 46/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
46 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF +0% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC -8.4% • Z 1.08
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 53% • VS 200D +0.9% • RSI 60.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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TIC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.68%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $10.31H $10.39L $9.96C $10.39VOL 1.42M
RES: $10.79SUP: $7.67SMA50: $9.19SMA200: $8.76
$11.21$9.93$8.65$7.37$6.09RES $10.79SUP $7.67$10.392026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
TIC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 42/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) exhibits 29.4% gross margins and -0.4% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Business Services), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 29.4% gross profitability converts into -1.1% operating margin and -0.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -0.4% // GM: 29.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of — paired with 2.70% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: — // FCF YLD: 2.70%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.08 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.08 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $10.39 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Business Services require continuous execution to defend -5.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -5.7% // D/E: 0.73x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 2.70%
GROSS MARGIN 29.4%
OPERATING MARGIN -1.1%
NET MARGIN -5.7%
ROIC % -0.4%
REV GROWTH YOY —
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.73x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 64.3
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TICPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $9.51
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>