ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TGEN // Tecogen Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001537435 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Machinery/Components
$1.99 ▼ -0.34 (-14.59%)
MKT CAP: $70.3M • VOL: 203.4K
TGEN // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 24/100 [E] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
24 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
8 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 51% • VS 200D +0% • RSI 50.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
6 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
5 / 20
CRITICAL
20 BASE - 15 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did TGEN's Forensic Fundamentals & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever TGEN is Upgraded or Downgraded.

TGEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.37%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $2.23H $2.28L $1.95C $1.99VOL 203.3K
RES: $2.32SUP: $1.80SMA50: $2.75SMA200: $3.81
$7.82$6.21$4.59$2.98$1.37RES $2.32SUP $1.80$1.992026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
TGEN // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) exhibits 36.3% gross margins and -35.0% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 36.3% gross profitability converts into -30.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -35.0% // GM: 36.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +19.7% paired with -14.66% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +19.7% // FCF YLD: -14.66%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.24 and Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.24 // F-SCORE: 3/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $1.99 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend -30.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -30.5% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -14.66%
GROSS MARGIN 36.3%
OPERATING MARGIN -30.5%
NET MARGIN -30.5%
ROIC % -35.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +19.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 35.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TGENPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $1.82
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for TGEN & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>