ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SWIM // Latham Group Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001833197 ↗
Industrials • Plastic Products
$7.26 ▲ +0.21 (+2.98%)
MKT CAP: $854.1M • VOL: 1.11M
SWIM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 60/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
60 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 72% • VS 200D +5.1% • RSI 63
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
13 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 7 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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SWIM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.60%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $7.26H $7.42L $7.19C $7.26VOL 928.1K
RES: $6.83SUP: $5.46SMA50: $6.53SMA200: $6.17
$8.09$7.15$6.22$5.28$4.35RES $6.83SUP $5.46$7.262026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
SWIM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 30/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) exhibits 33.4% gross margins and 3.5% return on invested capital within Industrials (Plastic Products), balanced against a 21.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 33.4% gross profitability converts into 5.6% operating margin and 3.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 3.5% // GM: 33.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +7.4% paired with 4.45% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +7.4% // FCF YLD: 4.45%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.11 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.11 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 76.8x trailing P/E (71.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 76.8x // EV/EBITDA: 21.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $7.26 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Plastic Products require continuous execution to defend 2.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 2.0% // D/E: 0.68x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 71.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 76.8x
FORWARD P/E 71.4x
EV / EBITDA 21.7x
FCF YIELD 4.45%
GROSS MARGIN 33.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 5.6%
NET MARGIN 2.0%
ROIC % 3.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +7.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.09
DEBT / EQUITY 0.68x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 74.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SWIMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $6.64
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>