SVC // Service Properties Trust of

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000945394 ↗

Financials • Real Estate Investment Trusts

$6.41 ▲ +0.11 (+1.75%)

MKT CAP: $830.2M • VOL: 1.04M

52W L $6 52W H $12

PIOTROSKI

4 / 9

SVC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE

▼ DOWNGRADE // D+ (RQD 53) -> D- (RQD 38) AS OF 2026-11-02

ROARABLE D-

RQD CONFIDENCE

38 / 100 -15D

5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS

E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+

Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow

01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL

Forensic Fundamentals

7 / 20

WARNING

FCF -15.5% vs NI +26.6% • ROIC-WACC -40.3% • Z 3.2

02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND

Whale & Options Flow

[LOCKED] FLAGGED

UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL

03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION

Insider & Capital Conviction

[LOCKED] FLAGGED

UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL

04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX

Macro Regime Fit

6 / 20

CRITICAL

HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.07 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.30

05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT

Forensic 10-K Risk

11 / 20

NEUTRAL

20 BASE - 9 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE

ALERT

Why did SVC's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever SVC is Upgraded or Downgraded.

SIG <GO> CROSS-FEED TRIANGULATION // PROPRIETARY ANOMALY ENGINE (1 ACTIVE ON SVC)

STAGE 2 DETERMINISTIC Z-SCORE + STAGE 3 GEEK DESK BRIEF ALL MARKET ANOMALIES <SIG>

▼ BEARISH // MACRO TAILWIND SCORE (30/100)SIFTER 05 // TRUE NET LIQUIDITY BETA

SEVERITY: 80/100 Z-SCORE: +2.09σ

SVC Exhibits 1.85x True Net Liquidity Elasticity as Fed-TGA-RRP Prints $5,746B

TRUE NET LIQUIDITY

$5,746B (-0.64% 4W)

NET LIQUIDITY ELASTICITY

1.85x BETA (r=+0.21)

MACRO TAILWIND SCORE

30 / 100

[GEEK DESK FORENSIC NOTE // FRED WALCL - TGA - RRP × 5Y BETA]

FRED Fed Assets (WALCL)US Treasury TGA (WTREGEN) + ON RRPICE BofA High-Yield OAS + 5Y Equity Beta

Wall Street's True Net Liquidity Index (WALCL minus Treasury General Account WTREGEN minus Overnight RRP) stands at $5,745.73B (-0.64% 4-week RoC; High-Yield OAS +2 bps). Rolling 5-year regression assigns Service Properties Trust of (SVC) a 1.85x Net Liquidity beta (r = +0.21), placing it in the top decile of liquidity-sensitive equities. Current plumbing translates to a deterministic Macro Tailwind Score of 30/100.

SVC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.53%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $6.30H $6.41L $6.30C $6.41VOL 1.04M

RES: $7.67SUP: $5.34SMA50: $6.70SMA200: $8.31

SVC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE

UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100

BEAR 0

100 BULL

Service Properties Trust of (SVC) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and -31.3% return on invested capital within Financials (Real Estate Investment Trusts), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)

01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and -31.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -31.3% // GM: 45.0%

02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -5.6% paired with 14.19% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -5.6% // FCF YLD: 14.19%

03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 4/9

▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)

01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —

02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $6.41 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85

03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Real Estate Investment Trusts require continuous execution to defend -14.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -14.3% // D/E: 0.45x

KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.

MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).

FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>

FILER	SIDE	$ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>

UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>

STRIKE / EXP	TYPE	PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>

KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>

TRAILING P/E —

FORWARD P/E —

EV / EBITDA —

FCF YIELD 14.19%

GROSS MARGIN —

OPERATING MARGIN —

NET MARGIN -14.3%

ROIC % -31.3%

REV GROWTH YOY -5.6%

DILUTED EPS TTM —

DEBT / EQUITY —

DIVIDEND YIELD 0.81%

RSI-14 MOMENTUM 50.8

5Y EQUITY BETA —

FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>

MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.

FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SVCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE

01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO

02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE

HEADLINE STRESS SCORE

75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE

PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE

DFII10 // -0.61 r

Latest: 2.08%

EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE

-8.50%

Implied Px: $5.87

EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE

-$4,248

On $50,000 Notional

[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for SVC & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>

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