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Service Properties Trust of (SVC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$6.41 +1.75% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.42

Service Properties Trust of (SVC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $830.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.42 (+0.13%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 8.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SVC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SVC SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$7.15-14% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$6.15+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$6.15+4.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$6.41-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SVC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SVC currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.73) and Max Pain ($6.73) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.76.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SVC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SVC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

4730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE12% OF RANGE

L: $6$6.41H: $12

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on SVC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

-31.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 14.19% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (58)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SVC

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SVC)

✓Walkthrough of SVC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SVC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.29%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $6.37H $6.45L $6.23C $6.41VOL 1.07M

RES: $7.68SUP: $5.36SMA50: $6.73SMA200: $8.34

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SVC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SVC Butterfly Map → + Track SVC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SVC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SVC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SVC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SVC)

Financials Rank #739 of 1096 ⚔️ ARI vs SVC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SVC vs. ARI, SAFE, ESRT, INN)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Service Properties Trust of (SVC) ranks #739 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #593 by equity capitalization ($830.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARI leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while ESRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and — gross margin. SAFE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with SVC at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SVC ACTIVE Service Properties Trust of	D+	53/100	—	—	-31.3%	+1.75%	$830.2M	Benchmark Subject
ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc	C-	59/100	6.5x	—	6.8%	-1.68%	$827.0M	/ari-vs-svc →
SAFE Safehold Inc.	C+	66/100	7.0x	—	3.3%	+3.37%	$803.1M	/safe-vs-svc →
ESRT Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	—	—	11.6%	+1.61%	$869.4M	/esrt-vs-svc →
INN Summit Hotel Properties Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	6.3%	+0.97%	$784.1M	/inn-vs-svc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000945394

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Service Properties Trust of (SVC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.41B (-5.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.50B , and -4.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$202.3M, operating cash flow of $117.8M, and free cash flow of $117.8M (-15.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, SVC closed FY2025 with $6.49B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.41B	-$202.3M	$117.8M	$117.8M	$6.49B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.50B	-$275.5M	$139.4M	$139.4M	$7.12B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.48B	-$32.8M	$485.5M	$485.5M	—	—

3. SVC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SVC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Service Properties Trust of (NASDAQ: SVC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $6.41 (+1.75% 1D, market cap $830.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SVC ranks #739 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SVC compare to ARI and SAFE in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), SVC carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -31.3%. By comparison, ARI (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 6.5x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $827.0M) and SAFE (Safehold Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 3.3%, cap $803.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARI leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while ESRT leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SVC?

Per SVC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000945394), Service Properties Trust of generated $1.41B in revenue (-5.6% YoY), -$202.3M in net income, and $117.8M in free cash flow against $6.49B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SVC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SVC last traded at $6.41 (+1.75% on volume of 1,040,138 shares), positioning the stock -4.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.73) and -23.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.34). Across its 52-week range of $5.65 to $12.15, SVC sits at the 11.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.61 to $7.21).

SVC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SVC stock right now?

Service Properties Trust of (SVC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 53/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-31% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SVC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SVC's 12-month base price target is $6.27 (range $4.89 to $12.76), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: SVC RQD Cockpit SVC 12M Forecast SVC Earnings & Move SVC Dividends & DRIP SVC Insiders & 13F SVC Whale Options SVC Profit Sankey SVC News & Why