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Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) (ESRT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$5.05 +1.61% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) (ESRT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $869.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ESRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

6330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

2 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE31% OF RANGE

L: $4$5.05H: $8

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on ESRT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

11.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (58)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ESRT

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ESRT)

✓Walkthrough of ESRT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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ESRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.34%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $5.09H $5.10L $4.97C $5.05VOL 4.35M

RES: $6.05SUP: $3.40SMA50: $4.49SMA200: $5.30

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ESRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ESRT Butterfly Map → + Track ESRT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-8.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. 0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESRT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ESRT)

Financials Rank #642 of 1096 ⚔️ JBGS vs ESRT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ESRT vs. JBGS, SVC, ARI, SAFE)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) (ESRT) ranks #642 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #582 by equity capitalization ($869.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARI leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while ESRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and — gross margin. SAFE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with ESRT at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ESRT ACTIVE Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	—	—	11.6%	+1.61%	$869.4M	Benchmark Subject
JBGS JBG SMITH Properties	D+	52/100	—	—	-12.0%	+3.98%	$896.2M	/jbgs-vs-esrt →
SVC Service Properties Trust of	D+	53/100	—	—	-31.3%	+1.75%	$830.2M	/svc-vs-esrt →
ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc	C-	59/100	6.5x	—	6.8%	-1.68%	$827.0M	/ari-vs-esrt →
SAFE Safehold Inc.	C+	66/100	7.0x	—	3.3%	+3.37%	$803.1M	/safe-vs-esrt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001541401

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) (ESRT) reported GAAP revenue of $766.8M (+0.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $766.8M , and +3.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $249.1M, and free cash flow of $249.1M (-4.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ESRT closed FY2025 with $4.47B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$766.8M	$0	$249.1M	$249.1M	$4.47B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$766.8M	$0	$260.9M	$260.9M	$4.51B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$738.2M	$0	$232.5M	$232.5M	—	—

3. ESRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ESRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: ESRT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $5.05 (+1.61% 1D, market cap $869.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ESRT ranks #642 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ESRT compare to JBGS and SVC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ESRT carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.6%. By comparison, JBGS (JBG SMITH Properties) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.0%, cap $896.2M) and SVC (Service Properties Trust of) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.3%, cap $830.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARI leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while ESRT leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESRT?

Per ESRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001541401), Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) generated $766.8M in revenue (+0.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $249.1M in free cash flow against $4.47B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ESRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ESRT last traded at $5.05 (+1.61% on volume of 2,665,796 shares), positioning the stock +12.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.49) and -4.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.30). Across its 52-week range of $3.93 to $7.54, ESRT sits at the 31.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($4.66 to $5.44).

ESRT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ESRT stock right now?

Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) (ESRT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ESRT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ESRT's 12-month base price target is $5.03 (range $3.92 to $7.92), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ESRT RQD Cockpit ESRT 12M Forecast ESRT Earnings & Move ESRT Dividends & DRIP ESRT Insiders & 13F ESRT Whale Options ESRT Profit Sankey ESRT News & Why