MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 11h ago
Cast Your Vote On NYC Real Estate (4 Office REITs To Consider)Compare NYC office REITs: why Empire State Realty Trust is the top pick, BXP is a buy, and VNO and SLG are holds.
Why ESRT Stock advanced +1.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$5.05 +1.61% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) (ESRT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $869.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ESRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ESRT Stock advanced +1.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) (ESRT) advanced +1.61% to $5.05, trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($3.93 – $7.54). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($3.93 – $7.54) with RSI-14 at 63 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.7% around $5.05 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $249.1M annual free cash flow.
Live ESRT Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHYahoo • 1d ago
Mattel and 4 More Stocks See Action From Activist InvestorsActivists also report to the SEC on Empire State Realty Trust, Dole, Koppers Holdings, and Elastic.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT) Declines as Observatory Headwinds Overshadow Solid Office FundamentalsLongleaf Partners, managed by Southeastern Asset Management, released its third-quarter 2026 investor letter for its “Small-Cap Fund”. You can download the letter here. The fund had a difficult quarter, returning -9.24%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ESRT)
- ✓Walkthrough of ESRT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ESRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.34%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $5.09H $5.10L $4.97C $5.05VOL 4.35M
RES: $6.05SUP: $3.40SMA50: $4.49SMA200: $5.30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ESRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-8.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. 0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESRT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ESRT)
Financials Rank #642 of 1096
⚔️ JBGS vs ESRT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ESRT vs. JBGS, SVC, ARI, SAFE)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) (ESRT) ranks #642 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #582 by equity capitalization ($869.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARI leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while ESRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and — gross margin. SAFE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with ESRT at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESRT
ACTIVE
Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | 11.6% | +1.61% | $869.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| JBGS JBG SMITH Properties | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | -12.0% | +3.98% | $896.2M | /jbgs-vs-esrt → |
| SVC Service Properties Trust of | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | -31.3% | +1.75% | $830.2M | /svc-vs-esrt → |
| ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc | C- | 59/100 | 6.5x | — | 6.8% | -1.68% | $827.0M | /ari-vs-esrt → |
| SAFE Safehold Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 7.0x | — | 3.3% | +3.37% | $803.1M | /safe-vs-esrt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001541401In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) (ESRT) reported GAAP revenue of $766.8M (+0.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $766.8M , and +3.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $249.1M, and free cash flow of $249.1M (-4.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ESRT closed FY2025 with $4.47B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $766.8M | $0 | $249.1M | $249.1M | $4.47B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $766.8M | $0 | $260.9M | $260.9M | $4.51B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $738.2M | $0 | $232.5M | $232.5M | — | — |
3. ESRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ESRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: ESRT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $5.05 (+1.61% 1D, market cap $869.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ESRT ranks #642 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ESRT compare to JBGS and SVC in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ESRT carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.6%. By comparison, JBGS (JBG SMITH Properties) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.0%, cap $896.2M) and SVC (Service Properties Trust of) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.3%, cap $830.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARI leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while ESRT leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESRT?
Per ESRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001541401), Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) generated $766.8M in revenue (+0.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $249.1M in free cash flow against $4.47B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ESRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ESRT last traded at $5.05 (+1.61% on volume of 2,665,796 shares), positioning the stock +12.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.49) and -4.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.30). Across its 52-week range of $3.93 to $7.54, ESRT sits at the 31.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($4.66 to $5.44).
ESRT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ESRT stock moving today?
Why ESRT Stock advanced +1.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.