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Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell ORC stock right now?

Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 6x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

Q: What is ORC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ORC's 12-month base price target is $5.19 (range $4.05 to $8.82), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$5.03 -0.20% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $970.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ORC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

30.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE8% OF RANGE

L: $5$5.03H: $8

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on ORC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

11.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 12.41% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (70)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ORC

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ORC Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ORC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.45%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $4.91H $5.03L $4.76C $5.03VOL 7.83M

RES: $7.07SUP: $4.59SMA50: $5.72SMA200: $6.73

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ORC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ORC Butterfly Map → + Track ORC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-10.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ORC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ORC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ORC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ORC)

Financials Rank #322 of 1096 ⚔️ CSR vs ORC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ORC vs. CSR, JBGS, DEA, ESRT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) ranks #322 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #566 by equity capitalization ($970.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORC leads on earnings valuation at 6.1x trailing P/E, while ORC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CSR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with ORC at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ORC ACTIVE Orchid Island Capital Inc.	C	65/100	6.1x	—	11.6%	-0.20%	$970.8M	Benchmark Subject
CSR D/B/A Centerspace	C+	66/100	57.7x	—	7.2%	+4.02%	$986.3M	/csr-vs-orc →
JBGS JBG SMITH Properties	D+	52/100	—	—	-12.0%	+3.98%	$896.2M	/jbgs-vs-orc →
DEA Easterly Government Properties Inc.	D+	52/100	82.4x	—	1.0%	+0.58%	$1.07B	/dea-vs-orc →
ESRT Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	—	—	11.6%	+1.61%	$869.4M	/esrt-vs-orc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001518621

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $159.3M, operating cash flow of $120.4M, and free cash flow of $120.4M (+79.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ORC closed FY2025 with $11.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$159.3M	$120.4M	$120.4M	$11.68B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$37.8M	$67.0M	$67.0M	$5.72B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$39.2M	$8.0M	$8.0M	—	—

3. ORC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ORC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Orchid Island Capital Inc. (NYSE: ORC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $5.03 (-0.20% 1D, market cap $970.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ORC ranks #322 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ORC compare to CSR and JBGS in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ORC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.6%. By comparison, CSR (D/B/A Centerspace) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 57.7x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $986.3M) and JBGS (JBG SMITH Properties) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.0%, cap $896.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORC leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while ORC leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ORC?

Per ORC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001518621), Orchid Island Capital Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $159.3M in net income, and $120.4M in free cash flow against $11.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ORC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ORC last traded at $5.03 (-0.20% on volume of 6,432,600 shares), positioning the stock -12.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.72) and -25.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.73). Across its 52-week range of $4.75 to $8.40, ORC sits at the 7.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($4.65 to $5.41).

ORC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ORC stock right now?

Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 6x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is ORC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ORC's 12-month base price target is $5.19 (range $4.05 to $8.82), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ORC RQD Cockpit ORC 12M Forecast ORC Earnings & Move ORC Dividends & DRIP ORC Insiders & 13F ORC Whale Options ORC Profit Sankey ORC News & Why