Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Orchid Island Capital Inc. (NYSE: ORC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $4.80 (-4.57% 1D, market cap $970.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ORC ranks #673 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ORC carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.6%. By comparison, CSR (D/B/A Centerspace) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 57.7x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $986.3M) and JBGS (JBG SMITH Properties) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.0%, cap $896.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORC leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while ORC leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).
Per ORC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001518621), Orchid Island Capital Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $159.3M in net income, and $120.4M in free cash flow against $11.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
While ORC currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.69) and Max Pain ($5.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.82.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) dropped -4.57% to $4.80, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($4.75 – $8.4). Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL, XETRA:ORC) needs no more than $20 billion in additional capital to fund its data centre expansion through financial year 2030, the company said, as Bank of America (BofA) reiterated its 'buy' rati
Office Properties Income Trust shareholders watched a double-digit yield turn into a bankruptcy, and five dividend payers right now share the same warning signs that preceded that collapse.
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. looks undervalued with a 23.8% yield, book value discount, and key upside catalysts. Click for this ORC stock update.
Markets waver as AI and oil reshape Fed bets, while REIT earnings stay strong.
Orchid Island Capital stock closed at US$5.05 on Friday, up 3.1% on the day, even though the fresh Q3 2026 report delivered a sharp net loss per share and a hit to book value. Short term traders are cheering the bounce.
AGNC sends shareholders a check every single month and yields more than most investors see in a year, but last quarter book value fell faster than the dividends arrived. Here is what the math actually looks like.
Rising rates and mortgage spread widening drove a $0.90 loss per share.
Orchid Island Capital (NYSE:ORC) reported a third-quarter net loss of $0.90 per share, compared with net income of $0.44 per share in the second quarter, as a late-quarter sell-off in interest-rate markets and widening m
Moby summary of Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s Q3 2026 earnings call
Orchid Island Cap (NYSE:ORC) reported third-quarter financial results on Friday. The transcript from the company’s third-quarter earnings call has been provided below.This transcript is brought to you by Benzinga APIs.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ORC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ORC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) ranks #673 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #566 by equity capitalization ($970.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORC leads on earnings valuation at 6.1x trailing P/E, while ORC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CSR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with ORC at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORC
ACTIVE
Orchid Island Capital Inc. | D | 50/100 | 6.1x | — | 11.6% | -4.57% | $970.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| CSR D/B/A Centerspace | D+ | 55/100 | 57.7x | — | 7.2% | -0.49% | $986.3M | /csr-vs-orc → |
| JBGS JBG SMITH Properties | D | 44/100 | — | — | -12.0% | -1.08% | $896.2M | /jbgs-vs-orc → |
| DEA Easterly Government Properties Inc. | D | 47/100 | 82.4x | — | 1.0% | -1.37% | $1.07B | /dea-vs-orc → |
| ESRT Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) | D | 46/100 | — | — | 11.6% | -1.58% | $869.4M | /esrt-vs-orc → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $159.3M, operating cash flow of $120.4M, and free cash flow of $120.4M (+79.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ORC closed FY2025 with $11.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $159.3M | $120.4M | $120.4M | $11.68B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $37.8M | $67.0M | $67.0M | $5.72B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$39.2M | $8.0M | $8.0M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Orchid Island Capital Inc. (NYSE: ORC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $4.80 (-4.57% 1D, market cap $970.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ORC ranks #673 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ORC carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.6%. By comparison, CSR (D/B/A Centerspace) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 57.7x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $986.3M) and JBGS (JBG SMITH Properties) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.0%, cap $896.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORC leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while ORC leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).
Per ORC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001518621), Orchid Island Capital Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $159.3M in net income, and $120.4M in free cash flow against $11.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
ORC last traded at $4.80 (-4.57% on volume of 7,842,097 shares), positioning the stock -15.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.69) and -28.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.71). Across its 52-week range of $4.75 to $8.40, ORC sits at the 1.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($4.45 to $5.15).
Why ORC Stock dropped -4.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
To protect compute speed and zero-delay Cboe BZX data quality for active members, our current $9.95/month Roarable Pro cohort is 100% full. Join the priority waiting list below and we will notify you the moment the next batch of Pro accounts opens (and lock in your $9.95/mo rate).
Link your personal ChatGPT, Claude Desktop, or Cursor via Roarable's Model Context Protocol (`mcp.roarable.com`) to query all 5,289 stocks, inspect Butterfly supply chains, and trade your `$100K Arena` account.
Interrogate SEC 10-K/10-Q filings on demand and ask custom ticker, valuation, or short-thesis questions directly to any of our 8 specialized AI Quant Analysts.
Command our AI agents to sort and sift 5,289 stocks by custom formulas, follow multi-indicator technical & cash-flow setups, and send you instant Email/SMS breakout & downgrade alerts.
Unlock sub-second Cboe BZX streaming quotes, pre-market/after-hours delta scanners, instant SEC Form 4 insider cluster alerts, and unlimited portfolio stress-testing.
All 8 Roarable Analysts (Mara Quenwick, Devon Kess, Gideon Vane, Eliott Vance, Sorel Thorne, Corin Hale, Tessa Rane, and Felix Orven) are proprietary AI Quant Analysts and automated algorithmic specialists — not human financial advisors, fiduciaries, or registered broker-dealers. While one-to-many daily stock ratings and briefings are free, custom 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alert agents, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections consume dedicated per-user compute and require a $9.95/month Roarable Pro membership. All AI outputs are for educational and research purposes only and never constitute individualized investment advice.
Enter your Google email below for instant 1-step account activation, daily A–E stock rating alerts, and immediate access to your $100,000.00 Virtual Cash Arena account (100% free — no credit card required).