ROARABLE // PRO
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STGW // Stagwell Inc. (Class A)

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000876883 ↗
Communication Services • Advertising
$9.95 ▲ +1.12 (+12.68%)
MKT CAP: $2.43B • VOL: 4.43M
STGW // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 60/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
60 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +99.5% vs NI +22.3% • ROIC-WACC -0.6% • Z 1.16
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 88% • VS 200D +9.1% • RSI 84
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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STGW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +58.69%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $9.95H $10.61L $9.79C $9.95VOL 4.16M
RES: $11.82SUP: $7.68SMA50: $8.72SMA200: $7.18
$10.96$9.49$8.02$6.55$5.08RES $11.82SUP $7.68$9.952026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
STGW // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 29/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (STGW) exhibits 36.5% gross margins and 6.3% return on invested capital within Communication Services (Advertising), balanced against a 18.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 36.5% gross profitability converts into 5.5% operating margin and 6.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 6.3% // GM: 36.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +2.4% paired with 10.17% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +2.4% // FCF YLD: 10.17%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.16 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.16 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 79.4x trailing P/E (73.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 79.4x // EV/EBITDA: 18.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $9.95 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Advertising require continuous execution to defend 1.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.1% // D/E: 1.75x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 73.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 79.4x
FORWARD P/E 73.8x
EV / EBITDA 18.6x
FCF YIELD 10.17%
GROSS MARGIN 36.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 5.5%
NET MARGIN 1.1%
ROIC % 6.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +2.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.13
DEBT / EQUITY 1.75x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 75.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // STGWPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $9.10
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>