ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SKYW // SkyWest Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000793733 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Air Freight/Delivery Services
$82.33 ▼ -14.21 (-14.72%)
MKT CAP: $3.75B • VOL: 829.3K
SKYW // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // B (RQD 75) -> C+ (RQD 67)
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
67 / 100 -8D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +40.3% vs NI +32.6% • ROIC-WACC +2.8% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +24.2% • P/E 8.2x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.06 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.37
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did SKYW's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever SKYW is Upgraded or Downgraded.

SKYW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.18%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $95.27H $96.54L $82.33C $82.33VOL 253.0K
RES: $128.2SUP: $89.27SMA50: $96.37SMA200: $95.97
$120.5$109.0$97.41$85.86$74.31RES $128.2SUP $89.27$82.332026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
SKYW // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 50/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 10.9% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Air Freight/Delivery Services), balanced against a 8.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and 10.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 10.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of — paired with 24.23% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: — // FCF YLD: 24.23%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 8.8x trailing P/E (8.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 8.8x // EV/EBITDA: 8.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $82.33 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Air Freight/Delivery Services require continuous execution to defend — net margins.

NET MARGIN: — // D/E: 0.67x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 8.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 8.8x
FORWARD P/E 8.2x
EV / EBITDA 8.5x
FCF YIELD 24.23%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN —
NET MARGIN —
ROIC % 10.9%
REV GROWTH YOY —
DILUTED EPS TTM $11.03
DEBT / EQUITY 0.67x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SKYWPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $75.33
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for SKYW & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>