Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SKYW

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SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$96.54 +1.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $96.59

SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.75B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SKYW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SKYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, SkyWest Inc. (NASDAQ: SKYW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $96.54 (+1.33% 1D, market cap $3.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SKYW ranks #200 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SKYW compare to ALK and CPA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), SKYW carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $4.03B) and CPA (Copa Holdings S.A.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $5.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SKYW?

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Per SKYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793733), SkyWest Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $428.3M in net income, and $908.3M in free cash flow against $7.39B in total assets and $1.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $96.59 (+0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 22.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SKYW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SKYW SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 22.7% FCF Margin ($908.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$95.02-4.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$90.45+4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$94.10+2.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$96.54+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SKYW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, SKYW faces multiple-compression risk if 8.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($96.37) or 200D SMA ($95.97) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($100.45) toward Bear Floor ($78.35).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SKYW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SKYW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

52.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE47% OF RANGE

L: $78$96.54H: $118

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on SKYW

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

10.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 24.23% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (65)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SKYW

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SKYW Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SKYW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.64%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $95.27H $96.54L $95.27C $96.54VOL 253.0K

RES: $128.2SUP: $89.27SMA50: $96.37SMA200: $95.97

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SKYW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SKYW Butterfly Map → + Track SKYW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-3.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SKYW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SKYW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SKYW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SKYW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #200 of 1011 ⚔️ ALK vs SKYW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SKYW vs. ALK, CPA, AERO, ALGT)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) ranks #200 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #327 by equity capitalization ($3.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while SKYW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SKYW ACTIVE SkyWest Inc.	C+	67/100	8.8x	—	10.9%	+1.33%	$3.75B	Benchmark Subject
ALK Alaska Air Group Inc.	D-	43/100	40.3x	—	2.9%	+1.60%	$4.03B	/alk-vs-skyw →
CPA Copa Holdings S.A.	D+	56/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+1.05%	$5.40B	/cpa-vs-skyw →
AERO Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )	D	46/100	—	—	—	+0.07%	$2.22B	/aero-vs-skyw →
ALGT Allegiant Travel Company	D-	35/100	—	—	1.1%	+0.83%	$1.99B	/algt-vs-skyw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000793733

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $428.3M, operating cash flow of $940.4M, and free cash flow of $908.3M (+40.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SKYW closed FY2025 with $7.39B in total assets against $1.85B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$428.3M	$940.4M	$908.3M	$7.39B	$1.85B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$323.0M	$692.5M	$647.6M	$7.14B	$2.14B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$34.3M	$736.3M	$736.3M	—	—

3. SKYW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SKYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SKYW compare to ALK and CPA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SKYW?

Where is SKYW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SKYW last traded at $96.54 (+1.33% on volume of 252,971 shares), positioning the stock +0.18% above its 50-day simple moving average ($96.37) and +0.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($95.97). Across its 52-week range of $77.89 to $117.72, SKYW sits at the 46.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($90.55 to $102.53).

SKYW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SKYW stock right now?

SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 9x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is SKYW's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SKYW's 12-month base price target is $100.45 (range $78.35 to $123.61), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: SKYW RQD Cockpit SKYW 12M Forecast SKYW Earnings & Move SKYW Dividends & DRIP SKYW Insiders & 13F SKYW Whale Options SKYW Profit Sankey SKYW News & Why