MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why SKYW Stock advanced +1.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$96.54 +1.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.00
SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $3.75B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.00 (+0.48%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 22.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SKYW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SKYW SCORES 75/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 47% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 29.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (21% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$96.52-5.2% Next Q
67
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B$91.51+1.7% Next Q
70
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$93.03+3.8% Next Q
72
CurrentGrade B$96.54+7.4% Hist 90D α
75
Trajectory: B- (67) → B (75)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SKYW Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 75/100 (B) score, SKYW faces multiple-compression risk if 8.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($96.46) or 200D SMA ($95.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($103.93) toward Bear Floor ($79.16).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SKYW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SKYW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SKYW Stock advanced +1.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) advanced +1.33% to $96.54, trading at 47% of its 52-week range ($77.89 – $117.72). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 47% of its 52-week range ($77.89 – $117.72) with RSI-14 at 29.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.3% around $96.54 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $908.3M annual free cash flow.
Live SKYW Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SKYW Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SKYW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.56%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $87.79H $96.54L $81.85C $96.54VOL 828.9K
RES: $127.8SUP: $89.36SMA50: $96.46SMA200: $95.99
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SKYW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-3.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SKYW today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SKYW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SKYW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SKYW)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #79 of 1011
⚔️ ALK vs SKYW Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SKYW vs. ALK, CPA, AERO, ALGT)
Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) ranks #79 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #327 by equity capitalization ($3.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while SKYW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKYW
ACTIVE
SkyWest Inc. | B | 75/100 | 8.8x | — | 10.9% | +1.33% | $3.75B | Benchmark Subject |
| ALK Alaska Air Group Inc. | D- | 43/100 | 40.3x | — | 2.9% | +1.60% | $4.03B | /alk-vs-skyw → |
| CPA Copa Holdings S.A. | D+ | 56/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +1.05% | $5.40B | /cpa-vs-skyw → |
| AERO Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | +0.07% | $2.22B | /aero-vs-skyw → |
| ALGT Allegiant Travel Company | D | 50/100 | — | — | 1.1% | +0.83% | $1.99B | /algt-vs-skyw → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000793733In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $428.3M, operating cash flow of $940.4M, and free cash flow of $908.3M (+40.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SKYW closed FY2025 with $7.39B in total assets against $1.85B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $428.3M | $940.4M | $908.3M | $7.39B | $1.85B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $323.0M | $692.5M | $647.6M | $7.14B | $2.14B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $34.3M | $736.3M | $736.3M | — | — |
3. SKYW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SKYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, SkyWest Inc. (NASDAQ: SKYW) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $96.54 (+1.33% 1D, market cap $3.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SKYW ranks #79 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SKYW compare to ALK and CPA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), SKYW carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $4.03B) and CPA (Copa Holdings S.A.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $5.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SKYW?
Per SKYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793733), SkyWest Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $428.3M in net income, and $908.3M in free cash flow against $7.39B in total assets and $1.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SKYW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SKYW last traded at $96.54 (+1.33% on volume of 252,971 shares), positioning the stock +0.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($96.46) and +0.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($95.99). Across its 52-week range of $77.89 to $117.72, SKYW sits at the 46.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($90.46 to $102.62).
SKYW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SKYW stock moving today?
Why SKYW Stock advanced +1.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support.