Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ALGT

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Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$72.86 +0.83% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.99B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALGT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.6%

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

46.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.26>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE24% OF RANGE

L: $57$72.86H: $124

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ALGT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

1.1% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 3.77% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 1.26 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (53)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ALGT

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALGT)

✓Walkthrough of ALGT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ALGT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.68%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $71.50H $72.86L $69.07C $72.86VOL 358.4K

RES: $128.4SUP: $63.43SMA50: $75.55SMA200: $87.53

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALGT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALGT Butterfly Map → + Track ALGT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

6.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALGT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALGT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALGT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALGT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #636 of 1011 ⚔️ AERO vs ALGT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ALGT vs. AERO, ULCC, JBLU, SKYW)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) ranks #636 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #417 by equity capitalization ($1.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while SKYW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with ALGT at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ALGT ACTIVE Allegiant Travel Company	D	50/100	—	—	1.1%	+0.83%	$1.99B	Benchmark Subject
AERO Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+0.07%	$2.22B	/aero-vs-algt →
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings Inc.	D-	36/100	—	—	-35.0%	+5.02%	$1.49B	/ulcc-vs-algt →
JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation	D-	41/100	—	—	-35.0%	+7.02%	$1.15B	/jblu-vs-algt →
SKYW SkyWest Inc.	B	75/100	8.8x	—	10.9%	+1.33%	$3.75B	/skyw-vs-algt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001362468

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.32B (+4.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.22B , and -0.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.7M, operating cash flow of $389.8M, and free cash flow of $75.1M (+96.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALGT closed FY2025 with $4.21B in total assets against $1.68B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.26, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.32B	-$44.7M	$389.8M	$75.1M	$4.21B	$1.68B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.22B	-$240.2M	$338.5M	$38.3M	$4.43B	$1.61B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.32B	$117.6M	$423.1M	$423.1M	—	—

3. ALGT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALGT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Allegiant Travel Company (NASDAQ: ALGT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $72.86 (+0.83% 1D, market cap $1.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALGT ranks #636 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALGT compare to AERO and ULCC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), ALGT carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.1%. By comparison, AERO (Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.22B) and ULCC (Frontier Group Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALGT?

Per ALGT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001362468), Allegiant Travel Company generated $2.32B in revenue (+4.8% YoY), -$44.7M in net income, and $75.1M in free cash flow against $4.21B in total assets and $1.68B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALGT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALGT last traded at $72.86 (+0.83% on volume of 358,607 shares), positioning the stock -3.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($75.55) and -16.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($87.53). Across its 52-week range of $57.11 to $123.63, ALGT sits at the 23.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.6% ($64.41 to $81.31).

ALGT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ALGT stock right now?

Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ALGT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ALGT's 12-month base price target is $70.24 (range $54.79 to $129.81), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ALGT RQD Cockpit ALGT 12M Forecast ALGT Earnings & Move ALGT Dividends & DRIP ALGT Insiders & 13F ALGT Whale Options ALGT Profit Sankey ALGT News & Why