Allegiant Travel (ALGT) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Why ALGT Stock advanced +0.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.6% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 24% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALGT Turnaround Squeeze
While ALGT currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($75.55) and Max Pain ($76.50) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $129.81.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why ALGT Stock advanced +0.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) advanced +0.83% to $72.86, trading at 24% of its 52-week range ($57.11 – $123.63). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 24% of its 52-week range ($57.11 – $123.63) with RSI-14 at 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.6% around $72.86 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $75.1M annual free cash flow.
Allegiant Travel Company (NASDAQ: ALGT) announced today that it has accepted the resignation of Jude Bricker from his position on the company's board of directors, effective immediately, as he has shared plans to pursue
Controladora Vuela (VLRS) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +64.06% and +5.02%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/0001362468/000136246826000056/algt-20261019.htm
Southwest (LUV) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +8.20% and +1.89%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Allegiant Travel Company (NASDAQ: ALGT) has scheduled its third quarter 2026 financial results conference call for Wednesday, November 4 at 4:30 p.m. EST. A live broadcast of the conference call will be available through
DAL expands its Boston schedule with 45-plus round-trip flights and 6,000 seats for spring 2027. Can the move boost its competitive edge?
Allegiant Travel has seen its share price move around in recent years, and the latest leg of that journey puts a simple question in front of you as an investor. Given where the stock trades today, is the current valuatio
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALGT)
- ✓Walkthrough of ALGT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ALGT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALGT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALGT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALGT)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ALGT vs. AERO, ULCC, JBLU, SKYW)
Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) ranks #636 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #417 by equity capitalization ($1.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while SKYW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with ALGT at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALGT
ACTIVE
Allegiant Travel Company | D | 50/100 | — | — | 1.1% | +0.83% | $1.99B | Benchmark Subject |
| AERO Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | +0.07% | $2.22B | /aero-vs-algt → |
| ULCC Frontier Group Holdings Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +5.02% | $1.49B | /ulcc-vs-algt → |
| JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +7.02% | $1.15B | /jblu-vs-algt → |
| SKYW SkyWest Inc. | B | 75/100 | 8.8x | — | 10.9% | +1.33% | $3.75B | /skyw-vs-algt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001362468In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.32B (+4.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.22B , and -0.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.7M, operating cash flow of $389.8M, and free cash flow of $75.1M (+96.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALGT closed FY2025 with $4.21B in total assets against $1.68B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.26, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.32B | -$44.7M | $389.8M | $75.1M | $4.21B | $1.68B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.22B | -$240.2M | $338.5M | $38.3M | $4.43B | $1.61B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.32B | $117.6M | $423.1M | $423.1M | — | — |
3. ALGT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ALGT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Allegiant Travel Company (NASDAQ: ALGT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $72.86 (+0.83% 1D, market cap $1.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALGT ranks #636 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ALGT compare to AERO and ULCC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), ALGT carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.1%. By comparison, AERO (Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.22B) and ULCC (Frontier Group Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALGT?
Per ALGT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001362468), Allegiant Travel Company generated $2.32B in revenue (+4.8% YoY), -$44.7M in net income, and $75.1M in free cash flow against $4.21B in total assets and $1.68B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ALGT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ALGT last traded at $72.86 (+0.83% on volume of 358,607 shares), positioning the stock -3.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($75.55) and -16.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($87.53). Across its 52-week range of $57.11 to $123.63, ALGT sits at the 23.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.6% ($64.41 to $81.31).
ALGT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ALGT stock moving today?
Why ALGT Stock advanced +0.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.