Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SKYW / financials

ALK (43) CPA (56) AERO (58) ALGT (50) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

Q: Is SKYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, SkyWest Inc. (NASDAQ: SKYW) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $96.54 (+1.33% 1D, market cap $3.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SKYW ranks #79 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does SKYW compare to ALK and CPA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), SKYW carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $4.03B) and CPA (Copa Holdings S.A.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $5.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SKYW?

Per SKYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793733), SkyWest Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $428.3M in net income, and $908.3M in free cash flow against $7.39B in total assets and $1.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is SKYW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SKYW last traded at $96.54 (+1.33% on volume of 252,971 shares), positioning the stock +0.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($96.46) and +0.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($95.99). Across its 52-week range of $77.89 to $117.72, SKYW sits at the 46.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($90.46 to $102.62).

Q: How profitable is SkyWest Inc. (SKYW)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), SKYW converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 15.4% operating margin, and $908.3M in free cash flow (22.7% FCF margin).

$96.54 +1.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.00

SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $3.75B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.00 (+0.48%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 22.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SKYW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SKYW SCORES 75/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 47% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 29.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$96.52-5.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$91.51+1.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$93.03+3.8% Next Q

Current

Grade B$96.54+7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → B (75)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SKYW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, SKYW faces multiple-compression risk if 8.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($96.46) or 200D SMA ($95.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($103.93) toward Bear Floor ($79.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SKYW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SKYW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 75%NO 25%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How SKYW Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$908.3M (22.7% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $4.00B

FY24

Rev $4.00B

FY25

Rev $4.00B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$4.00B	52%	15.4%	$428.3M	$908.3M	10.9%
FY 2024	$4.00B	52%	12.4%	$323.0M	$647.6M	9%
FY 2023	$4.00B	52%	2.6%	$34.3M	$736.3M	10.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SKYW)

✓Walkthrough of SKYW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SKYW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.56%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $87.79H $96.54L $81.85C $96.54VOL 828.9K

RES: $127.8SUP: $89.36SMA50: $96.46SMA200: $95.99

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SKYW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SKYW Butterfly Map → + Track SKYW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-3.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SKYW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SKYW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SKYW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SKYW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #79 of 1011 ⚔️ ALK vs SKYW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SKYW vs. ALK, CPA, AERO, ALGT)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) ranks #79 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #327 by equity capitalization ($3.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while SKYW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SKYW ACTIVE SkyWest Inc.	B	75/100	8.8x	—	10.9%	+1.33%	$3.75B	Benchmark Subject
ALK Alaska Air Group Inc.	D-	43/100	40.3x	—	2.9%	+1.60%	$4.03B	/alk-vs-skyw →
CPA Copa Holdings S.A.	D+	56/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+1.05%	$5.40B	/cpa-vs-skyw →
AERO Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+0.07%	$2.22B	/aero-vs-skyw →
ALGT Allegiant Travel Company	D	50/100	—	—	1.1%	+0.83%	$1.99B	/algt-vs-skyw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000793733

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $428.3M, operating cash flow of $940.4M, and free cash flow of $908.3M (+40.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SKYW closed FY2025 with $7.39B in total assets against $1.85B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$428.3M	$940.4M	$908.3M	$7.39B	$1.85B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$323.0M	$692.5M	$647.6M	$7.14B	$2.14B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$34.3M	$736.3M	$736.3M	—	—

3. SKYW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SKYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, SkyWest Inc. (NASDAQ: SKYW) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $96.54 (+1.33% 1D, market cap $3.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SKYW ranks #79 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SKYW compare to ALK and CPA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), SKYW carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $4.03B) and CPA (Copa Holdings S.A.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $5.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SKYW?

Per SKYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793733), SkyWest Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $428.3M in net income, and $908.3M in free cash flow against $7.39B in total assets and $1.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SKYW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SKYW last traded at $96.54 (+1.33% on volume of 252,971 shares), positioning the stock +0.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($96.46) and +0.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($95.99). Across its 52-week range of $77.89 to $117.72, SKYW sits at the 46.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($90.46 to $102.62).

SKYW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is SkyWest Inc. (SKYW)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), SKYW converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 15.4% operating margin, and $908.3M in free cash flow (22.7% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: SKYW RQD Cockpit SKYW 12M Forecast SKYW Earnings & Move SKYW Dividends & DRIP SKYW Insiders & 13F SKYW Whale Options SKYW Profit Sankey SKYW News & Why