Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SKYW / earnings

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SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.3% Move

Q: Is SKYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, SkyWest Inc. (NASDAQ: SKYW) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $96.54 (+1.33% 1D, market cap $3.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SKYW ranks #79 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does SKYW compare to ALK and CPA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), SKYW carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $4.03B) and CPA (Copa Holdings S.A.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $5.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SKYW?

Per SKYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793733), SkyWest Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $428.3M in net income, and $908.3M in free cash flow against $7.39B in total assets and $1.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is SKYW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SKYW last traded at $96.54 (+1.33% on volume of 252,971 shares), positioning the stock +0.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($96.46) and +0.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($95.99). Across its 52-week range of $77.89 to $117.72, SKYW sits at the 46.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($90.46 to $102.62).

Q: When is SKYW's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, SkyWest Inc. (SKYW)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is SKYW stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.3% event move for SKYW, spanning a range between $90.46 and $102.62.

$96.54 +1.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.00

SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $3.75B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.00 (+0.48%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 22.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SKYW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SKYW SCORES 75/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 47% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 29.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$96.52-5.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$91.51+1.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$93.03+3.8% Next Q

Current

Grade B$96.54+7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → B (75)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SKYW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, SKYW faces multiple-compression risk if 8.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($96.46) or 200D SMA ($95.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($103.93) toward Bear Floor ($79.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SKYW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SKYW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 75%NO 25%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.3% Swing Band

±$6.08 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SKYW Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 75/100

Trailing EPS: $11.03 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (75/100)Model Risk Weight (25/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$428.3M	$908.3M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$323.0M	$647.6M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$34.3M	$736.3M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SKYW & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SKYW
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SKYW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.56%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $87.79H $96.54L $81.85C $96.54VOL 828.9K

RES: $127.8SUP: $89.36SMA50: $96.46SMA200: $95.99

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SKYW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SKYW Butterfly Map → + Track SKYW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-3.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SKYW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SKYW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SKYW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SKYW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #79 of 1011 ⚔️ ALK vs SKYW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SKYW vs. ALK, CPA, AERO, ALGT)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) ranks #79 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #327 by equity capitalization ($3.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while SKYW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SKYW ACTIVE SkyWest Inc.	B	75/100	8.8x	—	10.9%	+1.33%	$3.75B	Benchmark Subject
ALK Alaska Air Group Inc.	D-	43/100	40.3x	—	2.9%	+1.60%	$4.03B	/alk-vs-skyw →
CPA Copa Holdings S.A.	D+	56/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+1.05%	$5.40B	/cpa-vs-skyw →
AERO Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+0.07%	$2.22B	/aero-vs-skyw →
ALGT Allegiant Travel Company	D	50/100	—	—	1.1%	+0.83%	$1.99B	/algt-vs-skyw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000793733

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $428.3M, operating cash flow of $940.4M, and free cash flow of $908.3M (+40.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SKYW closed FY2025 with $7.39B in total assets against $1.85B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$428.3M	$940.4M	$908.3M	$7.39B	$1.85B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$323.0M	$692.5M	$647.6M	$7.14B	$2.14B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$34.3M	$736.3M	$736.3M	—	—

3. SKYW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SKYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, SkyWest Inc. (NASDAQ: SKYW) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $96.54 (+1.33% 1D, market cap $3.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SKYW ranks #79 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SKYW compare to ALK and CPA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), SKYW carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $4.03B) and CPA (Copa Holdings S.A.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $5.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SKYW?

Per SKYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793733), SkyWest Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $428.3M in net income, and $908.3M in free cash flow against $7.39B in total assets and $1.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SKYW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SKYW last traded at $96.54 (+1.33% on volume of 252,971 shares), positioning the stock +0.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($96.46) and +0.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($95.99). Across its 52-week range of $77.89 to $117.72, SKYW sits at the 46.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($90.46 to $102.62).

SKYW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SKYW's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, SkyWest Inc. (SKYW)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is SKYW stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.3% event move for SKYW, spanning a range between $90.46 and $102.62.

Direct Sub-Reports: SKYW RQD Cockpit SKYW 12M Forecast SKYW Earnings & Move SKYW Dividends & DRIP SKYW Insiders & 13F SKYW Whale Options SKYW Profit Sankey SKYW News & Why