ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SIBN // SI-BONE Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001459839 ↗
Health Care • Medical/Dental Instruments
$22.41 ▲ +0.58 (+2.66%)
MKT CAP: $1.00B • VOL: 950.3K
SIBN // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 48/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
48 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF +60.3% vs NI +38.8% • ROIC-WACC -19.7% • Z 8.73
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 55% • VS 200D +1.1% • RSI 58.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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SIBN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +80.87%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $22.25H $22.41L $20.95C $22.41VOL 1.25M
RES: $24.09SUP: $18.63SMA50: $19.41SMA200: $16.40
$23.75$20.43$17.10$13.77$10.45RES $24.09SUP $18.63$22.412026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
SIBN // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 41/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

SI-BONE Inc. (SIBN) exhibits 79.6% gross margins and -10.3% return on invested capital within Health Care (Medical/Dental Instruments), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 79.6% gross profitability converts into -11.1% operating margin and -10.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -10.3% // GM: 79.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +20.2% paired with -0.90% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +20.2% // FCF YLD: -0.90%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 8.73 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 8.73 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $22.41 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Medical/Dental Instruments require continuous execution to defend -9.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -9.4% // D/E: 0.20x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -0.90%
GROSS MARGIN 79.6%
OPERATING MARGIN -11.1%
NET MARGIN -9.4%
ROIC % -10.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +20.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.20x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 58.6
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SIBNPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $20.51
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>