ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

RLJ // RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001511337 ↗
Financials • Real Estate Investment Trusts
$12.71 ▲ +0.21 (+1.68%)
MKT CAP: $1.94B • VOL: 1.83M
RLJ // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 53/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
53 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -14.6% vs NI -58.1% • ROIC-WACC -7.7% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 44% • VS 200D -1.3% • RSI 52.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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RLJ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +54.25%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $12.68H $12.71L $12.42C $12.71VOL 2.07M
RES: $14.73SUP: $9.87SMA50: $11.37SMA200: $9.88
$13.26$11.72$10.17$8.63$7.08RES $14.73SUP $9.87$12.712026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
RLJ // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value (RLJ) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 1.3% return on invested capital within Financials (Real Estate Investment Trusts), balanced against a 67.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and 1.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 1.3% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -1.4% paired with 12.59% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -1.4% // FCF YLD: 12.59%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 67.9x trailing P/E (63.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 67.9x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $12.71 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Real Estate Investment Trusts require continuous execution to defend 2.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 2.1% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 63.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 67.9x
FORWARD P/E 63.1x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 12.59%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN —
NET MARGIN 2.1%
ROIC % 1.3%
REV GROWTH YOY -1.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.19
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.72%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 72.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // RLJPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $11.63
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>