RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value (RLJ) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$12.71 +1.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value (RLJ) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.94B
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$15 Bull$12 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE RLJ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RLJ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)
72.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE97% OF RANGE
L: $7$12.71H: $13
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on RLJ

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

1.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 12.59% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (47)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RLJ
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Priced at 68x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RLJ)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RLJ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RLJ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +54.25%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $12.68H $12.71L $12.42C $12.71VOL 2.07M
RES: $14.73SUP: $9.87SMA50: $11.37SMA200: $9.88
$13.26$11.72$10.17$8.63$7.08RES $14.73SUP $9.87$12.712026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RLJ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
45.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RLJ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RLJ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RLJ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RLJ)

Financials Rank #734 of 1096 ⚔️ DHC vs RLJ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RLJ vs. DHC, ARR, SMA, FRMI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value (RLJ) ranks #734 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #430 by equity capitalization ($1.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARR leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while ARR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and — gross margin. ARR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with RLJ at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RLJ ACTIVE
RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value
D+ 53/100 67.9x — 1.3% +1.68% $1.94B Benchmark Subject
DHC
Diversified Healthcare Trust of
D- 36/100 — — -17.2% +2.18% $1.93B /dhc-vs-rlj →
ARR
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc.
C 63/100 5.9x — 14.3% +0.95% $1.90B /arr-vs-rlj →
SMA
SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc.
D+ 53/100 — — 4.1% +1.53% $1.98B /sma-vs-rlj →
FRMI
Fermi Inc.
E 34/100 — — -20.4% -5.30% $1.83B /frmi-vs-rlj →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001511337

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value (RLJ) reported GAAP revenue of $1.35B (-1.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.37B , and +1.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $28.5M, operating cash flow of $243.8M, and free cash flow of $243.8M (-14.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, RLJ closed FY2025 with $4.74B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.35B $28.5M $243.8M $243.8M $4.74B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.37B $68.0M $285.4M $285.4M $4.88B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.33B $76.4M $315.1M $315.1M — —

3. RLJ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RLJ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value (NYSE: RLJ) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $12.71 (+1.68% 1D, market cap $1.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RLJ ranks #734 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RLJ compare to DHC and ARR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), RLJ carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 67.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, DHC (Diversified Healthcare Trust of) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.2%, cap $1.93B) and ARR (ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $1.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while ARR leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RLJ?

Per RLJ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001511337), RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value generated $1.35B in revenue (-1.4% YoY), $28.5M in net income, and $243.8M in free cash flow against $4.74B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RLJ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RLJ last traded at $12.71 (+1.68% on volume of 1,828,207 shares), positioning the stock +11.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.37) and +28.64% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.88). Across its 52-week range of $6.69 to $12.89, RLJ sits at the 97.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($11.96 to $13.46).

RLJ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell RLJ stock right now?

RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value (RLJ) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 53/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 68x P/E (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is RLJ's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RLJ's 12-month base price target is $12.42 (range $9.69 to $14.66), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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