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SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. (SMA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$35.76 +1.53% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.79

SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. (SMA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.98B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.79 (+0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 30.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SMA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SMA SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 30.2% FCF Margin ($85.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$32.83+4.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$34.16+4.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$35.64+0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$35.76-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SMA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SMA currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($33.17) and Max Pain ($37.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $41.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SMA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SMA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)

72.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE87% OF RANGE

L: $29$35.76H: $37

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on SMA

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

4.1% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 4.29% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (48)

19/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SMA

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SMA)

✓Walkthrough of SMA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SMA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.60%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $35.92H $36.75L $35.67C $35.76VOL 579.1K

RES: $38.64SUP: $29.84SMA50: $33.17SMA200: $32.59

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SMA Butterfly Map → + Track SMA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

30.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMA)

Financials Rank #733 of 1096 ⚔️ RLJ vs SMA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SMA vs. RLJ, DHC, ARR, FRMI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. (SMA) ranks #733 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #428 by equity capitalization ($1.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARR leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while ARR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and — gross margin. ARR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with SMA at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SMA ACTIVE SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc.	D+	53/100	—	—	4.1%	+1.53%	$1.98B	Benchmark Subject
RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value	D+	53/100	67.9x	—	1.3%	+1.68%	$1.94B	/rlj-vs-sma →
DHC Diversified Healthcare Trust of	D-	36/100	—	—	-17.2%	+2.18%	$1.93B	/dhc-vs-sma →
ARR ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc.	C	63/100	5.9x	—	14.3%	+0.95%	$1.90B	/arr-vs-sma →
FRMI Fermi Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-20.4%	-5.30%	$1.83B	/frmi-vs-sma →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001585389

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. (SMA) reported GAAP revenue of $281.1M (+18.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $237.0M , and +20.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.7M, operating cash flow of $85.0M, and free cash flow of $85.0M (+32.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMA closed FY2025 with $2.43B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$281.1M	-$1.7M	$85.0M	$85.0M	$2.43B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$237.0M	-$5.9M	$64.0M	$64.0M	$2.04B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$233.0M	$11.6M	$73.2M	$73.2M	—	—

3. SMA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SMA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. (NYSE: SMA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $35.76 (+1.53% 1D, market cap $1.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SMA ranks #733 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SMA compare to RLJ and DHC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), SMA carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, RLJ (RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 67.9x, ROIC 1.3%, cap $1.94B) and DHC (Diversified Healthcare Trust of) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.2%, cap $1.93B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while ARR leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMA?

Per SMA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001585389), SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. generated $281.1M in revenue (+18.6% YoY), -$1.7M in net income, and $85.0M in free cash flow against $2.43B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SMA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SMA last traded at $35.76 (+1.53% on volume of 629,976 shares), positioning the stock +7.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($33.17) and +9.73% above its 200-day simple moving average ($32.59). Across its 52-week range of $29.41 to $36.75, SMA sits at the 86.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($34.26 to $37.26).

SMA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SMA stock right now?

SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. (SMA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 53/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SMA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SMA's 12-month base price target is $34.96 (range $27.27 to $41.25), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: SMA RQD Cockpit SMA 12M Forecast SMA Earnings & Move SMA Dividends & DRIP SMA Insiders & 13F SMA Whale Options SMA Profit Sankey SMA News & Why