CATALYSTReuters • 2h ago
Indian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat - ReutersIndian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat Reuters
Why SMA Stock advanced +1.53% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$35.76 +1.53% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.79
SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. (SMA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.98B
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Is SMA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. (NYSE: SMA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $35.76 (+1.53% 1D, market cap $1.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SMA ranks #733 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SMA compare to RLJ and DHC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), SMA carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, RLJ (RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 67.9x, ROIC 1.3%, cap $1.94B) and DHC (Diversified Healthcare Trust of) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.2%, cap $1.93B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while ARR leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMA?
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Per SMA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001585389), SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. generated $281.1M in revenue (+18.6% YoY), -$1.7M in net income, and $85.0M in free cash flow against $2.43B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.79 (+0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 30.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SMA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SMA SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 30.2% FCF Margin ($85.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (21% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$32.83+4.1% Next Q
45
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$34.16+4.3% Next Q
48
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$35.64+0.3% Next Q
50
CurrentGrade D+$35.76-0.9% Hist 90D α
53
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SMA Turnaround Squeeze
While SMA currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($33.17) and Max Pain ($37.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $41.25.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SMA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SMA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SMA Stock advanced +1.53% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. (SMA) advanced +1.53% to $35.76, trading at 87% of its 52-week range ($29.41 – $36.75). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 87% of its 52-week range ($29.41 – $36.75) with RSI-14 at 72.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.2% around $35.76 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $85.0M annual free cash flow.
Live SMA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 10h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 11h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 12h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SMA)
- ✓Walkthrough of SMA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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SMA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.60%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $35.92H $36.75L $35.67C $35.76VOL 579.1K
RES: $38.64SUP: $29.84SMA50: $33.17SMA200: $32.59
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SMA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
30.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +18.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMA)
Financials Rank #733 of 1096
⚔️ RLJ vs SMA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SMA vs. RLJ, DHC, ARR, FRMI)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. (SMA) ranks #733 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #428 by equity capitalization ($1.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARR leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while ARR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and — gross margin. ARR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with SMA at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA
ACTIVE
SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | 4.1% | +1.53% | $1.98B | Benchmark Subject |
| RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value | D+ | 53/100 | 67.9x | — | 1.3% | +1.68% | $1.94B | /rlj-vs-sma → |
| DHC Diversified Healthcare Trust of | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -17.2% | +2.18% | $1.93B | /dhc-vs-sma → |
| ARR ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. | C | 63/100 | 5.9x | — | 14.3% | +0.95% | $1.90B | /arr-vs-sma → |
| FRMI Fermi Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | — | -20.4% | -5.30% | $1.83B | /frmi-vs-sma → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001585389In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. (SMA) reported GAAP revenue of $281.1M (+18.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $237.0M , and +20.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.7M, operating cash flow of $85.0M, and free cash flow of $85.0M (+32.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMA closed FY2025 with $2.43B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $281.1M | -$1.7M | $85.0M | $85.0M | $2.43B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $237.0M | -$5.9M | $64.0M | $64.0M | $2.04B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $233.0M | $11.6M | $73.2M | $73.2M | — | — |
3. SMA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SMA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. (NYSE: SMA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $35.76 (+1.53% 1D, market cap $1.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SMA ranks #733 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SMA compare to RLJ and DHC in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), SMA carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, RLJ (RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 67.9x, ROIC 1.3%, cap $1.94B) and DHC (Diversified Healthcare Trust of) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.2%, cap $1.93B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while ARR leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMA?
Per SMA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001585389), SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc. generated $281.1M in revenue (+18.6% YoY), -$1.7M in net income, and $85.0M in free cash flow against $2.43B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SMA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SMA last traded at $35.76 (+1.53% on volume of 629,976 shares), positioning the stock +7.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($33.17) and +9.73% above its 200-day simple moving average ($32.59). Across its 52-week range of $29.41 to $36.75, SMA sits at the 86.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($34.26 to $37.26).
SMA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SMA stock moving today?
Why SMA Stock advanced +1.53% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.