Stock Ratings / Financials / RLJ / financials

DHC (36) ARR (63) SMA (53) FRMI (34) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value (RLJ) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$12.71 +1.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.72

RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value (RLJ) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.94B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.72 (+0.11%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 18.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RLJ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RLJ SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 18.1% FCF Margin ($243.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$11.21+3.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$11.65+3.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$12.06+5.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$12.71-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RLJ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RLJ currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.37) and Max Pain ($13.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RLJ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RLJ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How RLJ Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$243.8M (18.1% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $1.33B

FY24

Rev $1.37B

FY25

Rev $1.35B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.35B	52%	0%	$28.5M	$243.8M	1.3%
FY 2024	$1.37B	52%	0%	$68.0M	$285.4M	1.3%
FY 2023	$1.33B	52%	0%	$76.4M	$315.1M	1.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RLJ)

✓Walkthrough of RLJ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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RLJ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +54.25%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $12.68H $12.71L $12.42C $12.71VOL 2.07M

RES: $14.73SUP: $9.87SMA50: $11.37SMA200: $9.88

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RLJ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RLJ Butterfly Map → + Track RLJ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

45.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RLJ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RLJ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RLJ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RLJ)

Financials Rank #734 of 1096 ⚔️ DHC vs RLJ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RLJ vs. DHC, ARR, SMA, FRMI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value (RLJ) ranks #734 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #430 by equity capitalization ($1.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARR leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while ARR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and — gross margin. ARR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with RLJ at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RLJ ACTIVE RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value	D+	53/100	67.9x	—	1.3%	+1.68%	$1.94B	Benchmark Subject
DHC Diversified Healthcare Trust of	D-	36/100	—	—	-17.2%	+2.18%	$1.93B	/dhc-vs-rlj →
ARR ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc.	C	63/100	5.9x	—	14.3%	+0.95%	$1.90B	/arr-vs-rlj →
SMA SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc.	D+	53/100	—	—	4.1%	+1.53%	$1.98B	/sma-vs-rlj →
FRMI Fermi Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-20.4%	-5.30%	$1.83B	/frmi-vs-rlj →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001511337

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value (RLJ) reported GAAP revenue of $1.35B (-1.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.37B , and +1.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $28.5M, operating cash flow of $243.8M, and free cash flow of $243.8M (-14.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, RLJ closed FY2025 with $4.74B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.35B	$28.5M	$243.8M	$243.8M	$4.74B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.37B	$68.0M	$285.4M	$285.4M	$4.88B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.33B	$76.4M	$315.1M	$315.1M	—	—

3. RLJ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RLJ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value (NYSE: RLJ) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $12.71 (+1.68% 1D, market cap $1.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RLJ ranks #734 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RLJ compare to DHC and ARR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), RLJ carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 67.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, DHC (Diversified Healthcare Trust of) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.2%, cap $1.93B) and ARR (ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $1.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while ARR leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RLJ?

Per RLJ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001511337), RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value generated $1.35B in revenue (-1.4% YoY), $28.5M in net income, and $243.8M in free cash flow against $4.74B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RLJ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RLJ last traded at $12.71 (+1.68% on volume of 1,828,207 shares), positioning the stock +11.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.37) and +28.64% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.88). Across its 52-week range of $6.69 to $12.89, RLJ sits at the 97.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($11.96 to $13.46).