ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

RAIL // FreightCar America Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001320854 ↗
Industrials • Railroads
$4.18 ▼ +0.00 (-0.12%)
MKT CAP: $137.1M • VOL: 250.3K
RAIL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 51/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
51 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF -21.3% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC +21.3% • Z 1.75
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 64% • VS 200D +3.2% • RSI 53.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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RAIL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.27%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $4.10H $4.19L $4.08C $4.18VOL 215.0K
RES: $6.73SUP: $3.43SMA50: $6.38SMA200: $8.59
$10.74$8.87$7.01$5.14$3.27RES $6.73SUP $3.43$4.182026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
RAIL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 53/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) exhibits 14.6% gross margins and 27.5% return on invested capital within Industrials (Railroads), balanced against a 6.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 14.6% gross profitability converts into 6.8% operating margin and 27.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 27.5% // GM: 14.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -10.2% paired with 22.91% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -10.2% // FCF YLD: 22.91%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.75 and Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.75 // F-SCORE: 3/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 6.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $4.18 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Railroads require continuous execution to defend — net margins.

NET MARGIN: — // D/E: 8.50x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 6.4x
FCF YIELD 22.91%
GROSS MARGIN 14.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 6.8%
NET MARGIN —
ROIC % 27.5%
REV GROWTH YOY -10.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 8.50x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 24.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // RAILPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $3.82
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for RAIL & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>