ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

QNST // QuinStreet Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001117297 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Business Services
$17.14 ▲ +0.79 (+4.83%)
MKT CAP: $980.8M • VOL: 1.50M
QNST // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // B (RQD 73) -> B- (RQD 70)
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
70 / 100 -3D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +200% vs NI +115% • ROIC-WACC -6% • Z 5.24
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 57% • VS 200D +18.4% • RSI 57.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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QNST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.54%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-02O $16.35H $17.14L $16.35C $17.14VOL 1.50M
SUP: $14.86SMA50: $16.90SMA200: $14.48
$23.09$19.79$16.49$13.19$9.89SUP $14.86$17.142026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
QNST // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 80/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

QuinStreet Inc. (QNST) exhibits 10.1% gross margins and 2.6% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Business Services), balanced against a 109.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 10.1% gross profitability converts into 0.6% operating margin and 2.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 2.6% // GM: 10.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +78.3% paired with 8.45% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +78.3% // FCF YLD: 8.45%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.24 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.24 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 109.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $17.14 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Business Services require continuous execution to defend 0.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.4% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 109.9x
FCF YIELD 8.45%
GROSS MARGIN 10.1%
OPERATING MARGIN 0.6%
NET MARGIN 0.4%
ROIC % 2.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +78.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 57.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // QNSTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $15.68
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for QNST & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>