PROG Holdings Inc. (PRG) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 37.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Diversified Commercial Services), balanced against a 4.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.
Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 8.6% operating margin and 37.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.
ROIC: 37.3% // GM: 45.0%YoY revenue trajectory of +0.4% paired with 24.89% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.
REV YOY: +0.4% // FCF YLD: 24.89%Altman Z-Score of 4.21 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.
ALTMAN Z: 4.21 // F-SCORE: 4/9Trading at 8.9x trailing P/E (8.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.
P/E: 8.9x // EV/EBITDA: 4.6xOptions market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $33.48 max pain.
IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Diversified Commercial Services require continuous execution to defend 6.1% net margins.
NET MARGIN: 6.1% // D/E: 0.45x| FILER | SIDE | $ VALUE |
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| INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO> | ||
| STRIKE / EXP | TYPE | PREMIUM |
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| INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO> | ||
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