PROG Holdings Inc. (PRG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$33.48 +8.42% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

PROG Holdings Inc. (PRG) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 37% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $1.31B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510080
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B
Cash (19)Whales (14)SEC (14)Macro (16)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.9% Base Target
$50 Bull$37 Base$27 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PRG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
62.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
4.21>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE37% OF RANGE
L: $25$33.48H: $48
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A+RQD 19 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on PRG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (95)

37.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 24.89% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 4.21 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (78)

31/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like PRG
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
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PRG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.56%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $33.54H $34.81L $33.17C $33.48VOL 1.01M
RES: $43.82SUP: $25.05SMA50: $34.03SMA200: $35.66
$49.31$42.77$36.23$29.69$23.15RES $43.82SUP $25.05$33.482026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PRG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-3.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PRG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PRG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PRG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PRG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #29 of 1011 ⚔️ UPBD vs PRG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PRG vs. UPBD, ARLO, KPLT, CTOS)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PROG Holdings Inc. (PRG) ranks #29 by composite RQD confidence (80/100, grade B+) and #478 by equity capitalization ($1.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRG leads on earnings valuation at 8.9x trailing P/E, while PRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.3% ROIC and — gross margin. PRG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 80/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PRG ACTIVE
PROG Holdings Inc.
B+ 80/100 8.9x — 37.3% +8.42% $1.31B Benchmark Subject
UPBD
Upbound Group Inc.
B+ 79/100 16.0x 48.4% 30.7% +18.16% $1.16B /upbd-vs-prg →
ARLO
Arlo Technologies Inc.
C+ 68/100 106.3x 44.0% 6.0% +8.14% $1.59B /arlo-vs-prg →
KPLT
Katapult Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 — 17.7% -0.8% +37.58% $1.06B /kplt-vs-prg →
CTOS
Custom Truck One Source Inc.
C- 61/100 — 28.5% 4.1% +1.39% $2.48B /ctos-vs-prg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001808834

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PROG Holdings Inc. (PRG) reported GAAP revenue of $2.41B (+0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.40B , and +3.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $146.8M, operating cash flow of $335.0M, and free cash flow of $324.9M (+149.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, PRG closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.21, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.41B $146.8M $335.0M $324.9M $1.61B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.40B $197.2M $138.5M $130.2M $1.51B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.34B $138.8M $204.2M $204.2M — —

3. PRG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PRG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, PROG Holdings Inc. (NYSE: PRG) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $33.48 (+8.42% 1D, market cap $1.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PRG ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PRG compare to UPBD and ARLO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), PRG carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 37.3%. By comparison, UPBD (Upbound Group Inc.) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 16.0x, ROIC 30.7%, cap $1.16B) and ARLO (Arlo Technologies Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 106.3x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRG leads on earnings multiple (8.9x) while PRG leads on capital efficiency (37.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PRG?

Per PRG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001808834), PROG Holdings Inc. generated $2.41B in revenue (+0.4% YoY), $146.8M in net income, and $324.9M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PRG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PRG last traded at $33.48 (+8.42% on volume of 1,036,274 shares), positioning the stock -1.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.03) and -6.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($35.66). Across its 52-week range of $25.18 to $47.73, PRG sits at the 36.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($29.93 to $37.03).

PRG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell PRG stock right now?

PROG Holdings Inc. (PRG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy — BUY) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 37% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is PRG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

PRG's 12-month base price target is $36.79 (range $27.45 to $50.12), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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