ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

PKOH // Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000076282 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Specialties
$45.00 ▲ +0.31 (+0.69%)
MKT CAP: $652.1M • VOL: 75.0K
PKOH // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 57/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
57 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF -25.2% vs NI -25.2% • ROIC-WACC +7% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 63% • VS 200D +3% • RSI 54.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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PKOH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +55.44%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $44.48H $45.00L $42.87C $45.00VOL 39.9K
RES: $48.76SUP: $42.21SMA50: $46.14SMA200: $34.96
$55.48$46.44$37.39$28.35$19.30RES $48.76SUP $42.21$45.002026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PKOH // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 48/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) exhibits 17.0% gross margins and 15.6% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Specialties), balanced against a 6.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 17.0% gross profitability converts into 4.1% operating margin and 15.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 15.6% // GM: 17.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -3.4% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -3.4% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 2/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 27.4x trailing P/E (25.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 27.4x // EV/EBITDA: 6.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $45.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Specialties require continuous execution to defend 1.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.5% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 25.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 27.4x
FORWARD P/E 25.5x
EV / EBITDA 6.0x
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN 17.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 4.1%
NET MARGIN 1.5%
ROIC % 15.6%
REV GROWTH YOY -3.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.64
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.20%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 38.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // PKOHPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $41.18
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>