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Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$43.14 -4.13% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.74

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $652.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PKOH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PKOH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: PKOH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $43.14 (-4.13% 1D, market cap $652.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, PKOH ranks #218 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PKOH compare to MEC and FOIL in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), PKOH carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.4x, gross margin of 17.0%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, MEC (Mayville Engineering Company Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.3%, cap $385.3M) and FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PKOH?

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Per PKOH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000076282), Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. generated $1.60B in revenue (-3.4% YoY), $23.8M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.42B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.74 (-0.93%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 1.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PKOH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PKOH SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.1% FCF Margin ($18.3M FCF) & 17% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$48.32-5.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$45.66-5.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$43.35-0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$43.14-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PKOH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PKOH currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($46.13) and Max Pain ($45.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $55.96.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PKOH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PKOH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

47.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

2 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE71% OF RANGE

L: $18$43.14H: $53

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (17% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on PKOH

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (70)

15.6% ROIC with 17.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (48)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like PKOH

✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PKOH)

✓Walkthrough of PKOH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PKOH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +48.71%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $44.69H $45.00L $43.14C $43.14VOL 75.0K

RES: $51.98SUP: $42.18SMA50: $46.13SMA200: $35.07

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PKOH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PKOH Butterfly Map → + Track PKOH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

20.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PKOH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PKOH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PKOH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PKOH)

Industrials Rank #218 of 485 ⚔️ MEC vs PKOH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (PKOH vs. MEC, FOIL, XPEL, TRS)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) ranks #218 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #283 by equity capitalization ($652.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while XPEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 42.2% gross margin. XPEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with PKOH at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PKOH ACTIVE Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.	D+	53/100	27.4x	17.0%	15.6%	-4.13%	$652.1M	Benchmark Subject
MEC Mayville Engineering Company Inc.	D-	39/100	—	9.9%	-1.3%	-0.60%	$385.3M	/mec-vs-pkoh →
FOIL Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five	D	45/100	—	—	—	-3.18%	$1.21B	/foil-vs-pkoh →
XPEL XPEL Inc.	B	72/100	24.6x	42.2%	21.6%	-0.28%	$1.26B	/xpel-vs-pkoh →
TRS TriMas Corporation	D+	53/100	11.5x	21.4%	4.8%	-1.40%	$1.39B	/trs-vs-pkoh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000076282

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.60B (-3.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.66B , and -3.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.8M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, PKOH closed FY2025 with $1.42B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.60B	$23.8M	—	—	$1.42B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.66B	$31.8M	—	—	$1.37B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.66B	$7.8M	—	—	—	—

3. PKOH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PKOH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PKOH compare to MEC and FOIL in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PKOH?

Where is PKOH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PKOH last traded at $43.14 (-4.13% on volume of 39,878 shares), positioning the stock -6.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.13) and +23.01% above its 200-day simple moving average ($35.07). Across its 52-week range of $18.06 to $53.30, PKOH sits at the 71.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($39.78 to $46.50).

PKOH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell PKOH stock right now?

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 53/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 27x P/E (16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is PKOH's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

PKOH's 12-month base price target is $42.17 (range $32.89 to $55.96), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: PKOH RQD Cockpit PKOH 12M Forecast PKOH Earnings & Move PKOH Dividends & DRIP PKOH Insiders & 13F PKOH Whale Options PKOH Profit Sankey PKOH News & Why