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TriMas Corporation (TRS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$38.68 -1.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.49

TriMas Corporation (TRS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.39B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.49 (-0.50%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 18.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TRS SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.94 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$38.15+1.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$38.75+2.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$39.60-2.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$38.68-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TRS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, TRS faces multiple-compression risk if 11.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 18.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.95) or 200D SMA ($38.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($38.16) toward Bear Floor ($29.76).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TRS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

40.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

1.94>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE55% OF RANGE

L: $30$38.68H: $45

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on TRS

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (40)

4.8% ROIC with 21.4% gross margin and 8.46% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 1.94 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (58)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TRS

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRS)

✓Walkthrough of TRS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TRS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.48%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $38.52H $39.06L $37.20C $38.68VOL 644.9K

RES: $38.77SUP: $33.66SMA50: $38.95SMA200: $38.66

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TRS Butterfly Map → + Track TRS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

1.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRS)

Industrials Rank #241 of 485 ⚔️ XPEL vs TRS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TRS vs. XPEL, FOIL, PKOH, AZZ)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TriMas Corporation (TRS) ranks #241 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #230 by equity capitalization ($1.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while XPEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 42.2% gross margin. XPEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with TRS at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TRS ACTIVE TriMas Corporation	D+	55/100	11.5x	21.4%	4.8%	-1.73%	$1.39B	Benchmark Subject
XPEL XPEL Inc.	B+	80/100	24.6x	42.2%	21.6%	+4.35%	$1.26B	/xpel-vs-trs →
FOIL Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five	D	49/100	—	—	—	-6.99%	$1.21B	/foil-vs-trs →
PKOH Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.	D+	57/100	27.4x	17.0%	15.6%	+0.69%	$652.1M	/pkoh-vs-trs →
AZZ AZZ Inc.	B	73/100	13.0x	23.9%	11.3%	+0.82%	$4.13B	/azz-vs-trs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000842633

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TriMas Corporation (TRS) reported GAAP revenue of $645.7M (+2.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $630.8M , and -1.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $120.1M, operating cash flow of $117.5M, and free cash flow of $117.5M (+84.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRS closed FY2025 with $1.49B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.94, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$645.7M	$120.1M	$117.5M	$117.5M	$1.49B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$630.8M	$24.3M	$63.8M	$63.8M	$1.32B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$652.1M	$40.4M	$88.2M	$88.2M	—	—

3. TRS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, TriMas Corporation (NASDAQ: TRS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $38.68 (-1.73% 1D, market cap $1.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TRS ranks #241 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRS compare to XPEL and FOIL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), TRS carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.5x, gross margin of 21.4%, and ROIC of 4.8%. By comparison, XPEL (XPEL Inc.) holds a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 24.6x, ROIC 21.6%, cap $1.26B) and FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRS?

Per TRS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000842633), TriMas Corporation generated $645.7M in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $120.1M in net income, and $117.5M in free cash flow against $1.49B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRS last traded at $38.68 (-1.73% on volume of 803,198 shares), positioning the stock -0.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($38.95) and +0.05% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.66). Across its 52-week range of $30.43 to $45.43, TRS sits at the 55.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($36.75 to $40.61).

TRS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TRS stock right now?

TriMas Corporation (TRS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 55/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 12x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TRS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TRS's 12-month base price target is $38.16 (range $29.76 to $47.7), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: TRS RQD Cockpit TRS 12M Forecast TRS Earnings & Move TRS Dividends & DRIP TRS Insiders & 13F TRS Whale Options TRS Profit Sankey TRS News & Why