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Materion Corporation (MTRN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$239.81 -0.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $239.06

Materion Corporation (MTRN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.00B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $239.07 (-0.31%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 5.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MTRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MTRN SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 60% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$280.45-12.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$245.44-9.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$221.06+8.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$239.81+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MTRN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, MTRN faces multiple-compression risk if 66.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 67x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($253.01) or 200D SMA ($211.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($243.05) toward Bear Floor ($189.58).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MTRN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MTRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

37.830 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE60% OF RANGE

L: $111$239.81H: $325

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (17% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on MTRN

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

6.4% ROIC with 17.3% gross margin and 2.07% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (55)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MTRN

✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Priced at 67x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MTRN Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MTRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.47%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $225.0H $239.8L $217.7C $239.8VOL 198.1K

RES: $332.4SUP: $212.1SMA50: $253.0SMA200: $211.9

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MTRN Butterfly Map → + Track MTRN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

44.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTRN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTRN)

Industrials Rank #149 of 485 ⚔️ AZZ vs MTRN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MTRN vs. AZZ, MAS, TRS, XPEL)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Materion Corporation (MTRN) ranks #149 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #144 by equity capitalization ($5.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while MAS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.7% ROIC and 35.4% gross margin. XPEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with MTRN at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MTRN ACTIVE Materion Corporation	C-	61/100	66.8x	17.3%	6.4%	-0.69%	$5.00B	Benchmark Subject
AZZ AZZ Inc.	B	73/100	13.0x	23.9%	11.3%	+0.82%	$4.13B	/azz-vs-mtrn →
MAS Masco Corporation	B+	77/100	19.1x	35.4%	46.7%	+5.43%	$15.46B	/mas-vs-mtrn →
TRS TriMas Corporation	D+	55/100	11.5x	21.4%	4.8%	-1.73%	$1.39B	/trs-vs-mtrn →
XPEL XPEL Inc.	B+	80/100	24.6x	42.2%	21.6%	+4.35%	$1.26B	/xpel-vs-mtrn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001104657

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Materion Corporation (MTRN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.79B (+6.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.68B , and +7.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $74.8M, operating cash flow of $103.2M, and free cash flow of $103.2M (+438.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTRN closed FY2025 with $1.80B in total assets against $436.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.79B	$74.8M	$103.2M	$103.2M	$1.80B	$436.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.68B	$5.9M	$87.8M	$19.2M	$1.70B	$407.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.67B	$95.7M	$144.4M	$144.4M	—	—

3. MTRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Materion Corporation (NYSE: MTRN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $239.81 (-0.69% 1D, market cap $5.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MTRN ranks #149 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MTRN compare to AZZ and MAS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), MTRN carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 66.8x, gross margin of 17.3%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, AZZ (AZZ Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 13.0x, ROIC 11.3%, cap $4.13B) and MAS (Masco Corporation) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 46.7%, cap $15.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while MAS leads on capital efficiency (46.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTRN?

Per MTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001104657), Materion Corporation generated $1.79B in revenue (+6.0% YoY), $74.8M in net income, and $103.2M in free cash flow against $1.80B in total assets and $436.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MTRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MTRN last traded at $239.81 (-0.69% on volume of 103,542 shares), positioning the stock -5.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($253.01) and +13.17% above its 200-day simple moving average ($211.90). Across its 52-week range of $110.69 to $324.99, MTRN sits at the 60.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.4% ($212.47 to $267.15).

MTRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MTRN stock right now?

Materion Corporation (MTRN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 17% profit margin (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 67x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is MTRN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MTRN's 12-month base price target is $243.05 (range $189.58 to $341.24), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: MTRN RQD Cockpit MTRN 12M Forecast MTRN Earnings & Move MTRN Dividends & DRIP MTRN Insiders & 13F MTRN Whale Options MTRN Profit Sankey MTRN News & Why