Stock Ratings / Industrials / MTRN / earnings

AZZ (73) MAS (77) TRS (55) XPEL (80) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Materion Corporation (MTRN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.4% Move

$239.81 -0.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $239.06

Materion Corporation (MTRN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.00B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MTRN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-01, Materion Corporation (NYSE: MTRN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $239.81 (-0.69% 1D, market cap $5.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MTRN ranks #149 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MTRN compare to AZZ and MAS in the Industrials sector?

▼

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), MTRN carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 66.8x, gross margin of 17.3%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, AZZ (AZZ Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 13.0x, ROIC 11.3%, cap $4.13B) and MAS (Masco Corporation) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 46.7%, cap $15.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while MAS leads on capital efficiency (46.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTRN?

▼

Per MTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001104657), Materion Corporation generated $1.79B in revenue (+6.0% YoY), $74.8M in net income, and $103.2M in free cash flow against $1.80B in total assets and $436.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $239.07 (-0.31%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 5.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MTRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MTRN SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 60% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$280.45-12.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$245.44-9.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$221.06+8.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$239.81+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MTRN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, MTRN faces multiple-compression risk if 66.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 67x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($253.01) or 200D SMA ($211.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($243.05) toward Bear Floor ($189.58).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MTRN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MTRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.4% Swing Band

±$27.34 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MTRN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 61/100

Trailing EPS: $3.59 • YoY Revenue Growth: 6%

Model Bullish Setup (61/100)Model Risk Weight (39/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.79B	$74.8M	$103.2M	17.3%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.68B	$5.9M	$19.2M	19.3%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.67B	$95.7M	$144.4M	17.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MTRN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MTRN
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MTRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.47%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $225.0H $239.8L $217.7C $239.8VOL 198.1K

RES: $332.4SUP: $212.1SMA50: $253.0SMA200: $211.9

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MTRN Butterfly Map → + Track MTRN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

44.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTRN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTRN)

Industrials Rank #149 of 485 ⚔️ AZZ vs MTRN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MTRN vs. AZZ, MAS, TRS, XPEL)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Materion Corporation (MTRN) ranks #149 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #144 by equity capitalization ($5.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while MAS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.7% ROIC and 35.4% gross margin. XPEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with MTRN at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MTRN ACTIVE Materion Corporation	C-	61/100	66.8x	17.3%	6.4%	-0.69%	$5.00B	Benchmark Subject
AZZ AZZ Inc.	B	73/100	13.0x	23.9%	11.3%	+0.82%	$4.13B	/azz-vs-mtrn →
MAS Masco Corporation	B+	77/100	19.1x	35.4%	46.7%	+5.43%	$15.46B	/mas-vs-mtrn →
TRS TriMas Corporation	D+	55/100	11.5x	21.4%	4.8%	-1.73%	$1.39B	/trs-vs-mtrn →
XPEL XPEL Inc.	B+	80/100	24.6x	42.2%	21.6%	+4.35%	$1.26B	/xpel-vs-mtrn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001104657

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Materion Corporation (MTRN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.79B (+6.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.68B , and +7.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $74.8M, operating cash flow of $103.2M, and free cash flow of $103.2M (+438.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTRN closed FY2025 with $1.80B in total assets against $436.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.79B	$74.8M	$103.2M	$103.2M	$1.80B	$436.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.68B	$5.9M	$87.8M	$19.2M	$1.70B	$407.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.67B	$95.7M	$144.4M	$144.4M	—	—

3. MTRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MTRN compare to AZZ and MAS in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTRN?

Where is MTRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MTRN last traded at $239.81 (-0.69% on volume of 103,542 shares), positioning the stock -5.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($253.01) and +13.17% above its 200-day simple moving average ($211.90). Across its 52-week range of $110.69 to $324.99, MTRN sits at the 60.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.4% ($212.47 to $267.15).

MTRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MTRN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Materion Corporation (MTRN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is MTRN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.4% event move for MTRN, spanning a range between $212.47 and $267.15.

Direct Sub-Reports: MTRN RQD Cockpit MTRN 12M Forecast MTRN Earnings & Move MTRN Dividends & DRIP MTRN Insiders & 13F MTRN Whale Options MTRN Profit Sankey MTRN News & Why