MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Reported Earlier, Aura Minerals Greenlights $382M Era Dorada Underground Gold Project In Guatemala, Estimating 111,000 Oz Annual Output And First Half 2028 Production CommencementWhy MTRN Stock slipped -0.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$239.81 -0.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $239.06
Materion Corporation (MTRN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $5.00B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $239.07 (-0.31%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 5.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MTRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MTRN SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 60% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$280.45-12.5% Next Q
69
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$245.44-9.9% Next Q
66
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$221.06+8.5% Next Q
64
CurrentGrade C-$239.81+0.5% Hist 90D α
61
Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MTRN Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, MTRN faces multiple-compression risk if 66.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Priced at 67x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($253.01) or 200D SMA ($211.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($243.05) toward Bear Floor ($189.58).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MTRN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MTRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MTRN Stock slipped -0.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Materion Corporation (MTRN) slipped -0.69% to $239.81, trading at 60% of its 52-week range ($110.69 – $324.99). Solid 17% profit margin (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 67x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 60% of its 52-week range ($110.69 – $324.99) with RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.4% around $239.81 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 17.3% gross margin and $103.2M annual free cash flow.
Live MTRN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
What Needs To Be True To Buy USA Rare Earth Stock?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
CATALYSTYahoo • 6d ago
Materion Corporation Declares Quarterly Cash DividendMAYFIELD HEIGHTS, Ohio, October 26, 2026--Materion Corporation (NYSE: MTRN) announced today that its Board of Directors declared a fourth-quarter 2026 dividend of $0.145 per share of common stock. The dividend is payable
CATALYSTYahoo • 8d ago
Materion (MTRN) Stock May Be 40% Undervalued On Future Cash FlowMaterion has had a powerful run over the past few years, yet the recent pullback raises a simple question for you as an investor. Is the current share price still supported by the cash the business is expected to generat
MARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
Materion Corporation to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on November 4MAYFIELD HEIGHTS, Ohio, October 21, 2026--Materion Corporation (NYSE: MTRN) is scheduled to release its third quarter 2026 financial results on November 4, 2026, before the opening of the New York Stock Exchange. The com
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MTRN Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MTRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.47%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $225.0H $239.8L $217.7C $239.8VOL 198.1K
RES: $332.4SUP: $212.1SMA50: $253.0SMA200: $211.9
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MTRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
44.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTRN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTRN)
Industrials Rank #149 of 485
⚔️ AZZ vs MTRN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MTRN vs. AZZ, MAS, TRS, XPEL)
Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Materion Corporation (MTRN) ranks #149 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #144 by equity capitalization ($5.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while MAS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.7% ROIC and 35.4% gross margin. XPEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with MTRN at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTRN
ACTIVE
Materion Corporation | C- | 61/100 | 66.8x | 17.3% | 6.4% | -0.69% | $5.00B | Benchmark Subject |
| AZZ AZZ Inc. | B | 73/100 | 13.0x | 23.9% | 11.3% | +0.82% | $4.13B | /azz-vs-mtrn → |
| MAS Masco Corporation | B+ | 77/100 | 19.1x | 35.4% | 46.7% | +5.43% | $15.46B | /mas-vs-mtrn → |
| TRS TriMas Corporation | D+ | 55/100 | 11.5x | 21.4% | 4.8% | -1.73% | $1.39B | /trs-vs-mtrn → |
| XPEL XPEL Inc. | B+ | 80/100 | 24.6x | 42.2% | 21.6% | +4.35% | $1.26B | /xpel-vs-mtrn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001104657In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Materion Corporation (MTRN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.79B (+6.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.68B , and +7.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $74.8M, operating cash flow of $103.2M, and free cash flow of $103.2M (+438.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTRN closed FY2025 with $1.80B in total assets against $436.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.79B | $74.8M | $103.2M | $103.2M | $1.80B | $436.3M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.68B | $5.9M | $87.8M | $19.2M | $1.70B | $407.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.67B | $95.7M | $144.4M | $144.4M | — | — |
3. MTRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Materion Corporation (NYSE: MTRN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $239.81 (-0.69% 1D, market cap $5.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MTRN ranks #149 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MTRN compare to AZZ and MAS in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), MTRN carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 66.8x, gross margin of 17.3%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, AZZ (AZZ Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 13.0x, ROIC 11.3%, cap $4.13B) and MAS (Masco Corporation) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 46.7%, cap $15.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while MAS leads on capital efficiency (46.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTRN?
Per MTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001104657), Materion Corporation generated $1.79B in revenue (+6.0% YoY), $74.8M in net income, and $103.2M in free cash flow against $1.80B in total assets and $436.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MTRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MTRN last traded at $239.81 (-0.69% on volume of 103,542 shares), positioning the stock -5.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($253.01) and +13.17% above its 200-day simple moving average ($211.90). Across its 52-week range of $110.69 to $324.99, MTRN sits at the 60.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.4% ($212.47 to $267.15).
MTRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MTRN stock moving today?
Why MTRN Stock slipped -0.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 17% profit margin (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 67x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.