Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$45.00 +0.69% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.97

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $652.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.97 (-0.07%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 1.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$56 Bull$45 Base$35 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PKOH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PKOH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PKOH SCORES 57/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.1% FCF Margin ($18.3M FCF) & 17% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 76% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 38.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$49.03-6.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$45.75-6.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$42.86+5% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$45.00-0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (65) β†’ D+ (57)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PKOH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, PKOH faces multiple-compression risk if 27.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.14) or 200D SMA ($34.96) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($44.80) toward Bear Floor ($34.94).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PKOHβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPKOH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

PKOH Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (PKOH)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on PKOH. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PKOH)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of PKOH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PKOH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +55.44%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $44.48H $45.00L $42.87C $45.00VOL 39.9K
RES: $48.76SUP: $42.21SMA50: $46.14SMA200: $34.96
$55.48$46.44$37.39$28.35$19.30RES $48.76SUP $42.21$45.002026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PKOH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PKOH today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PKOH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PKOH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PKOH)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (PKOH vs. MEC, FOIL, XPEL, TRS)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) ranks #217 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #283 by equity capitalization ($652.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while XPEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 42.2% gross margin. XPEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with PKOH at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PKOH ACTIVE
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.
D+ 57/100 27.4x 17.0% 15.6% +0.69% $652.1M Benchmark Subject
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company Inc.
D 47/100 β€” 9.9% -1.3% +2.37% $385.3M /mec-vs-pkoh β†’
FOIL
Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five
D 49/100 β€” β€” β€” -6.99% $1.21B /foil-vs-pkoh β†’
XPEL
XPEL Inc.
B+ 80/100 24.6x 42.2% 21.6% +4.35% $1.26B /xpel-vs-pkoh β†’
TRS
TriMas Corporation
D+ 55/100 11.5x 21.4% 4.8% -1.73% $1.39B /trs-vs-pkoh β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000076282

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.60B (-3.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.66B , and -3.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.8M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, PKOH closed FY2025 with $1.42B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.60B $23.8M β€” β€” $1.42B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.66B $31.8M β€” β€” $1.37B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.66B $7.8M β€” β€” β€” β€”

3. PKOH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PKOH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: PKOH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $45.00 (+0.69% 1D, market cap $652.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, PKOH ranks #217 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PKOH compare to MEC and FOIL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), PKOH carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.4x, gross margin of 17.0%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, MEC (Mayville Engineering Company Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.3%, cap $385.3M) and FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PKOH?

Per PKOH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000076282), Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. generated $1.60B in revenue (-3.4% YoY), $23.8M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.42B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PKOH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PKOH last traded at $45.00 (+0.69% on volume of 74,963 shares), positioning the stock -2.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.14) and +28.72% above its 200-day simple moving average ($34.96). Across its 52-week range of $18.06 to $53.30, PKOH sits at the 76.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.3% ($41.26 to $48.74).

PKOH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are PKOH insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies PKOH leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

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