ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

OPXS // Optex Systems Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001397016 ↗
Technology • Electronic Components
$9.23 ▲ +0.12 (+1.32%)
MKT CAP: $64.2M • VOL: 6.2K
OPXS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 84/100 [A-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE A-
RQD CONFIDENCE
84 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Superior Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
20 / 20
STRONG
FCF +200% vs NI +36.6% • ROIC-WACC +21.2% • Z 10.17
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
19 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +10% • P/E 10.5x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did OPXS's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever OPXS is Upgraded or Downgraded.

OPXS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.06%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $9.20H $9.35L $9.14C $9.23VOL 8.6K
RES: $9.93SUP: $8.54SMA50: $10.15SMA200: $11.91
$14.45$12.99$11.52$10.05$8.58RES $9.93SUP $8.54$9.232026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
OPXS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 70/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (OPXS) exhibits 29.2% gross margins and 29.8% return on invested capital within Technology (Electronic Components), balanced against a 7.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 29.2% gross profitability converts into 17.3% operating margin and 29.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 29.8% // GM: 29.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +21.6% paired with 10.02% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +21.6% // FCF YLD: 10.02%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 10.17 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 10.17 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 12.5x trailing P/E (10.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 12.5x // EV/EBITDA: 7.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $9.23 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Electronic Components require continuous execution to defend 12.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 12.5% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 10.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 12.5x
FORWARD P/E 10.5x
EV / EBITDA 7.7x
FCF YIELD 10.02%
GROSS MARGIN 29.2%
OPERATING MARGIN 17.3%
NET MARGIN 12.5%
ROIC % 29.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +21.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.74
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 29.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // OPXSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $8.45
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for OPXS & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>