ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

OPLN // OPENLANE Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001395942 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations
$38.76 ▲ +1.02 (+2.70%)
MKT CAP: $4.73B • VOL: 977.7K
OPLN // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 63/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
63 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +61.7% vs NI +61.7% • ROIC-WACC +0.8% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 62% • VS 200D +4.3% • RSI 59.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

Why did OPLN's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever OPLN is Upgraded or Downgraded.

OPLN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.28%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $38.80H $39.27L $38.76C $38.76VOL 697.6K
RES: $42.22SUP: $34.49SMA50: $35.69SMA200: $34.15
$43.93$39.66$35.38$31.10$26.82RES $42.22SUP $34.49$38.762026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
OPLN // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

OPENLANE Inc. (OPLN) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 9.5% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), balanced against a 26.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 10.2% operating margin and 9.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 9.5% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +8.2% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +8.2% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 26.6x trailing P/E (24.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 26.6x // EV/EBITDA: 26.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $38.76 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations require continuous execution to defend 9.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 9.2% // D/E: 0.43x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 24.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 26.6x
FORWARD P/E 24.7x
EV / EBITDA 26.0x
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 10.2%
NET MARGIN 9.2%
ROIC % 9.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +8.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.46
DEBT / EQUITY 0.43x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 68.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // OPLNPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $35.47
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for OPLN & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>