ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NTGR // NETGEAR Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001122904 ↗
Utilities • Telecommunications Equipment
$23.56 ▲ +0.07 (+0.30%)
MKT CAP: $640.3M • VOL: 180.5K
NTGR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 30/100 [E] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
30 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
5 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -112.1% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -18% • Z 1.54
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
8 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 37% • VS 200D -2.8% • RSI 47.6
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
6 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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NTGR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.77%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $22.92H $23.56L $22.31C $23.56VOL 330.6K
RES: $23.86SUP: $21.87SMA50: $22.21SMA200: $22.98
$28.52$26.27$24.02$21.77$19.52RES $23.86SUP $21.87$23.562026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
NTGR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 34/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

NETGEAR Inc. (NTGR) exhibits 38.0% gross margins and -9.4% return on invested capital within Utilities (Telecommunications Equipment), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 38.0% gross profitability converts into -4.9% operating margin and -9.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -9.4% // GM: 38.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.8% paired with -2.95% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.8% // FCF YLD: -2.95%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.54 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.54 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $23.56 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Telecommunications Equipment require continuous execution to defend -2.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -2.6% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -2.95%
GROSS MARGIN 38.0%
OPERATING MARGIN -4.9%
NET MARGIN -2.6%
ROIC % -9.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 48.6
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NTGRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $21.56
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>