ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NSP // Insperity Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001000753 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Professional Services
$48.68 ▲ +2.39 (+5.16%)
MKT CAP: $1.77B • VOL: 1.10M
NSP // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 20/100 [E] (+8 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
28 / 100 +8D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
4 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -120% vs NI -107.7% • ROIC-WACC -15.1% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 74% • VS 200D +17.2% • RSI 41.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
6 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.02 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.12
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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NSP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +64.74%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-02O $51.65H $51.65L $46.29C $48.68VOL 704.6K
RES: $55.13SUP: $44.15SMA50: $50.02SMA200: $39.51
$57.97$49.38$40.79$32.20$23.61RES $55.13SUP $44.15$48.682026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
NSP // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 34/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Insperity Inc. (NSP) exhibits 13.2% gross margins and -8.9% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Professional Services), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 13.2% gross profitability converts into -0.1% operating margin and -8.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -8.9% // GM: 13.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.5% paired with -17.48% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.5% // FCF YLD: -17.48%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 1/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $48.68 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Professional Services require continuous execution to defend -0.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -0.1% // D/E: 8.02x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -17.48%
GROSS MARGIN 13.2%
OPERATING MARGIN -0.1%
NET MARGIN -0.1%
ROIC % -8.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 8.02x
DIVIDEND YIELD 5.09%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 41.1
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NSPPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $44.54
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>