ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NC // NACCO Industries Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000789933 ↗
Energy • Coal Mining
$35.73 ▲ +0.72 (+2.06%)
MKT CAP: $269.6M • VOL: 24.9K
NC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 60/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
60 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 62% • VS 200D +2.8% • RSI 58.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +0.9% • P/E 12.9x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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NC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.84%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $35.49H $35.80L $34.93C $35.73VOL 31.3K
RES: $38.55SUP: $31.01SMA50: $37.52SMA200: $46.84
$56.14$49.68$43.23$36.77$30.32RES $38.55SUP $31.01$35.732026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
NC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 50/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) exhibits 13.9% gross margins and 4.6% return on invested capital within Energy (Coal Mining), balanced against a 3.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 13.9% gross profitability converts into 7.9% operating margin and 4.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 4.6% // GM: 13.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +16.6% paired with 0.85% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +16.6% // FCF YLD: 0.85%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.30 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.30 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 15.3x trailing P/E (12.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 15.3x // EV/EBITDA: 3.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $35.73 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Coal Mining require continuous execution to defend 6.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 6.3% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 12.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 15.3x
FORWARD P/E 12.9x
EV / EBITDA 3.5x
FCF YIELD 0.85%
GROSS MARGIN 13.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 7.9%
NET MARGIN 6.3%
ROIC % 4.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +16.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.33
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.72%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 46.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $32.69
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>