ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
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NATL // NCR Atleos Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001974138 ↗
Industrials • Office Equipment/Supplies/Services
$45.71 ▲ +0.42 (+0.93%)
MKT CAP: $3.38B • VOL: 582.9K
NATL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 56/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
56 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -7% vs NI +102.5% • ROIC-WACC +8.2% • Z 1.49
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +7.1% • P/E 19.4x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did NATL's Forensic 10-K Risk & Whale & Options Flow sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever NATL is Upgraded or Downgraded.

NATL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.00%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $45.33H $45.98L $45.33C $45.71VOL 512.2K
RES: $47.61SUP: $43.94SMA50: $46.00SMA200: $44.45
$48.85$46.17$43.49$40.82$38.14RES $47.61SUP $43.94$45.712026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
NATL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 14.4% return on invested capital within Industrials (Office Equipment/Supplies/Services), balanced against a 9.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 11.0% operating margin and 14.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 14.4% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +1.1% paired with 7.08% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +1.1% // FCF YLD: 7.08%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.49 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.49 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 20.9x trailing P/E (19.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 20.9x // EV/EBITDA: 9.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $45.71 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Office Equipment/Supplies/Services require continuous execution to defend 3.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.7% // D/E: 6.63x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 19.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 20.9x
FORWARD P/E 19.4x
EV / EBITDA 9.7x
FCF YIELD 7.08%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 11.0%
NET MARGIN 3.7%
ROIC % 14.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +1.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.19
DEBT / EQUITY 6.63x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 47.1
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NATLPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $41.83
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>