ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MNOV // Medicinova Inc

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001226616 ↗
Health Care • Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations
$1.40 ▲ +0.00 (0.00%)
MKT CAP: $68.9M • VOL: 29.7K
MNOV // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 30/100 [E] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
30 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
7 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 55% • VS 200D +0.7% • RSI 39
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
7 / 20
WARNING
20 BASE - 13 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did MNOV's Forensic Fundamentals & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MNOV is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MNOV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.42H $1.42L $1.38C $1.40VOL 29.7K
RES: $4.71SUP: $1.37SMA50: $1.79SMA200: $1.51
$4.09$3.31$2.53$1.76$0.98RES $4.71SUP $1.37$1.402026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
MNOV // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Medicinova Inc (MNOV) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and -35.0% return on invested capital within Health Care (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), balanced against a 5.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -35.0% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of — paired with -14.24% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: — // FCF YLD: -14.24%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.20 and Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.20 // F-SCORE: 3/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 5.7x trailing P/E (5.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 5.7x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $1.40 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations require continuous execution to defend 68.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 68.0% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 5.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 5.7x
FORWARD P/E 5.3x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -14.24%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN -60.0%
NET MARGIN 68.0%
ROIC % -35.0%
REV GROWTH YOY —
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.24
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 38.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MNOVPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $1.28
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MNOV & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>