ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

KIDS // OrthoPediatrics Corp.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001425450 ↗
Health Care • Medical/Dental Instruments
$31.52 ▲ +0.72 (+2.34%)
MKT CAP: $823.0M • VOL: 835.0K
KIDS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 46/100 [D] (+4 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
50 / 100 +4D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF +61.4% vs NI -4.8% • ROIC-WACC -16.4% • Z 3
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 94% • VS 200D +60.6% • RSI 79
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.01 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.24
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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KIDS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +99.75%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $30.80H $31.52L $30.80C $31.52VOL 835.0K
RES: $32.86SUP: $22.20SMA50: $23.44SMA200: $19.63
$33.82$28.86$23.89$18.93$13.97RES $32.86SUP $22.20$31.522026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
KIDS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 41/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

OrthoPediatrics Corp. (KIDS) exhibits 73.1% gross margins and -7.3% return on invested capital within Health Care (Medical/Dental Instruments), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 73.1% gross profitability converts into -16.6% operating margin and -7.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -7.3% // GM: 73.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +15.4% paired with -1.94% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +15.4% // FCF YLD: -1.94%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.00 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.00 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $31.52 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Medical/Dental Instruments require continuous execution to defend -16.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -16.8% // D/E: 0.29x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -1.94%
GROSS MARGIN 73.1%
OPERATING MARGIN -16.6%
NET MARGIN -16.8%
ROIC % -7.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +15.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.29x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 79.0
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // KIDSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $28.84
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>