ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

KAI // Kadant Inc

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000886346 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Machinery/Components
$271.33 ▲ +5.53 (+2.08%)
MKT CAP: $3.20B • VOL: 133.8K
KAI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 61/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
61 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF +14.9% vs NI -8.6% • ROIC-WACC +5.8% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 48% • VS 200D -0.4% • RSI 55
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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KAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.44%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $269.3H $274.9L $263.4C $271.3VOL 146.7K
RES: $338.4SUP: $248.6SMA50: $275.5SMA200: $306.3
$359.7$330.9$302.1$273.3$244.5RES $338.4SUP $248.6$271.32026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
KAI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Kadant Inc (KAI) exhibits 45.2% gross margins and 14.4% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 18.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.2% gross profitability converts into 14.9% operating margin and 14.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 14.4% // GM: 45.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -0.1% paired with 4.81% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -0.1% // FCF YLD: 4.81%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 31.4x trailing P/E (29.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 31.4x // EV/EBITDA: 18.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $271.33 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend 9.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 9.7% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 29.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 31.4x
FORWARD P/E 29.2x
EV / EBITDA 18.0x
FCF YIELD 4.81%
GROSS MARGIN 45.2%
OPERATING MARGIN 14.9%
NET MARGIN 9.7%
ROIC % 14.4%
REV GROWTH YOY -0.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $8.63
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.49%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 46.7
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // KAIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $248.28
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>